FxWirePro: BoE unlikely to hike - EUR/GBP major trend stuck in range – Write strangles on shrinking IVs and neutral RRs

Mar 22, 2018 10:41 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Bank of England is unlikely to increase rates today. However, we do expect a rate rise of 0.25% in May and will be looking to see whether it signals that intention today. Ahead of the November meeting, the BoE signaled...

FxWirePro: Hanging sword on sterling - Stay short GBPCHF in cash, long 1Y EURGBP vol swap

Mar 22, 2018 10:03 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The weaker than expected inflation in February had briefly caused doubts on the market about an imminent Bank of England (BoE) rate hike. But the doubts were already cast aside by improved wage data yesterday. What matters...

BOE monetary policy preview

Mar 22, 2018 09:43 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The pound has remained buoyant despite the domestic political trouble, riding on speculation that higher inflation would force the Bank of England (BoE) to increase interest rates, a materially weak dollar, better than...

FxWirePro: Low vols indicate hedge but no-hedge - Arrest dollar weakness against yen via options triangle

Mar 22, 2018 07:37 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Fed unsurprisingly delivered the sixth rate hike in the current cycle. The target range for the federal funds rate is now at 1.50%-1.75%. Considering the recent hawkish turn in Fed communications, markets were more...

FxWirePro: Capitalize on USD/JPY shrinking vols and abrupt rallies to deploy short leg in PRBS on hedging grounds

Mar 22, 2018 07:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Fed unsurprisingly delivered the sixth rate hike in the current cycle. The target range for the federal funds rate is now at 1.50%-1.75%. Considering the recent hawkish turn in Fed communications, markets were more...

RBNZ monetary policy: Assessing future bias

Mar 22, 2018 05:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept monetary policy unchanged with rates at 1.75 percent. Lets see in the monetary policy, how the bias stands for future actions, The outlook for global growth continues to...

FOMC Monetary Policy March 2018: Assessing future bias from statement and projection materials

Mar 22, 2018 05:44 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As expected, the policymakers at FOMC hiked interest rates by 25 basis points at yesterdays meeting. Current Federal funds rate target 150-175 basis points. Lets first assess the bias in monetary policy statement...