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Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities in upcoming meetings

Apr 30, 2018 05:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates again in March and maintained its forecast for three rate hikes in 2018. FOMC also forecasted a faster pace of hikes next year than previously forecasted. March decision was unanimous. Current...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 30th April 2018

Apr 30, 2018 04:52 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today, and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: China: NBS manufacturing PMI declined to 51.4 in April. Non-manufacturing PMI rose to...

Central Bank of Russia keeps key interest rate on hold at 7.25 pct

Apr 27, 2018 16:12 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Central Bank of Russia maintained its key interest rate at 7.25 percent today. While this was an expected move, the majority of market participants had expected a 25-basis point cut just one month ago, before the new...

Shedding some light on US IRS and exotics hedging flows

Apr 27, 2018 11:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The US 10Y Treasury yield slipped from its four-year high of 3.03% to 2.98%, with most of the move occurring before the ECB decision. 2Y yields nudged higher, from 2.47% to 2.49%, to help flatten the curve. Fed fund...

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USD/CHF vs. 2-year yield divergence

Apr 27, 2018 11:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

During our evaluation period beginning 2012, the yield spread between the US 2-year bond and a Swiss equivalent has widened by almost 200 basis points but the exchange rate hasnt followed through as much as it should have...

Fundamental Evaluation Series: USDJPY vs. 2-year yield spread

Apr 27, 2018 11:15 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This one pair has been at odds with yield divergence throughout early 2016 as the yen benefited from risk aversion and due to market participants doubts on BoJs abilities to ease policies further. It had shown...

Fundamental Evaluation Series: 2-year yield spread vs. GBP/USD

Apr 27, 2018 11:14 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The chart above shows, how the relationship between GBP/USD and 2-year yield divergence has unfolded since 2012. The cozy relationship between the yield spread and the exchange rate, in this case, is quite visible. Back...

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Economy

China vs U.S. AI Race Shifts Toward Robotics and Manufacturing Power in 2026

The global competition for artificial intelligence dominance is no longer driven solely by computing power and advanced chips. A new Alpine Macro report released on May 12, 2026, argues that industrial scale, manufacturing...

Sterling Slides as UK Political Uncertainty Sparks Market Volatility

The British pound came under heavy selling pressure on Thursday after rising political uncertainty in the United Kingdom triggered a sharp increase in forex market volatility. Investors reacted swiftly to reports...

Fed Rate Hike Fears Return as Inflation Risks Reshape Global Market Sentiment

Institutional investors are becoming increasingly worried about rising inflation risks in the United States, while concerns over slowing economic growth continue to fade. A new Bank of America global FX and Rates Sentiment...

Samsung Strike Talks Resume as South Korea Weighs Emergency Action

South Korea is considering all available measures, including emergency arbitration, to prevent a potential labor strike at Samsung Electronics, according to Prime Minister Kim Min-seok. The government is aiming to minimize...

Australia Capital Gains Tax Reform Sparks Housing Market Debate

Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers has strongly defended the federal governments proposed overhaul of capital gains tax laws, arguing that major reform is necessary to address Australias worsening housing affordability...

Politics

Russia Downs Hundreds of Ukrainian Drones in Largest Moscow Attack in Over a Year

Russia reported one of the largest Ukrainian drone attacks on Moscow and surrounding regions in more than a year, leaving at least four people dead and several others injured. The large-scale overnight assault targeted...

Colombia Election Violence: Two Campaign Workers for Abelardo De La Espriella Killed Ahead of Presidential Vote

Political violence in Colombia has intensified after two campaign workers supporting right-wing presidential candidate Abelardo De La Espriella were killed just weeks before the countrys 2026 presidential election. The...

Alex Saab Deported to U.S. as Maduro Investigation Deepens

Venezuelan official Alex Saab, a close ally of former President Nicolas Maduro, has reportedly been deported to the United States, according to Venezuelas migration agency SAIME. The move marks another major development in...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Remain Key to Regional Stability

Taiwan reaffirmed on Saturday that U.S. arms sales remain vital to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region after President Donald Trump said he had not yet decided whether to approve a new weapons...

Amazon Faces Class-Action Lawsuit Over Trump Tariff Price Hikes

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit after consumers accused the company of inflating product prices due to tariffs later ruled unlawful by the U.S. Supreme Court. The case, filed in...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Samsung Union Talks Enter Final Stage as Strike Threat Looms

Samsung Electronics and its largest labor union are set to resume critical wage negotiations on Monday as both sides race to prevent a major strike that could disrupt South Koreas economy and global semiconductor supply...

SpaceX Shareholders Approve 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Potential IPO

A majority of SpaceX shareholders have reportedly approved a 5-for-1 stock split proposed by the companys board, according to a Bloomberg News report published Friday. The decision comes as interest continues to grow...

FTC Antitrust Probe Targets Arm Holdings Over Chip Licensing Practices

Arm Holdings Plc (NASDAQ: ARM) is reportedly under formal investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over concerns tied to its semiconductor licensing business, according to Bloomberg. The probe marks a...

Applied Materials Forecasts Strong Q3 Revenue as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

Applied Materials posted record fiscal second-quarter revenue on Thursday and issued a stronger-than-expected forecast for the third quarter, fueled by rising global investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and...

Anthropic Nears $30 Billion Funding Round at $900 Billion Valuation

AI startup Anthropic is reportedly close to securing a massive $30 billion fundraising deal that would value the company at approximately $900 billion, according to a Financial Times report published Friday. The new...
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