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FxWirePro: A Bird’s Eye-View On RBA QE Program And AUD Risk-Reversals - Hedging & Trading Setup

May 15, 2020 11:14 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Markets would be observing the effectiveness of the RBAs QE program and yield target. A fair level for 3yr swap rates would be around 0.40%, but pandemic-related volatility will result in a wide range, say 0.25%-0.50%. The...

FxWirePro: Spotlight On Banxico MPS – Upholds USD/MXN Call Ratio Spreads

May 14, 2020 14:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Tonight the Mexican central bank (Banxico) is likely to cut its key interest rate by another 50 bps. Inflation fell to 2.2% in April, below the central banks inflation target. With regard to the economy, which has slid...

Norwegian Macros Provides Breathing Space To Norges - Delta Loop Vanilla Triangle Package For NOK

May 13, 2020 14:47 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Inflation was not much of an issue in Norway anyway over the past few years, so that Norges Bank was able to hike its key rate quite strongly over the past two years until it lowered it back to 0% again as a result of the...

FxWirePro: Kiwis Affirms Bearish Potential, Bid 3m NZD Skews & Deploy Suitable Hedging Strategies On RBNZ Hints Of Negative Rates

May 13, 2020 08:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Overnight, theRBNZleft rates at 0.25%, but increased its QE programme, also indicating that negative rates will become an option in the future. We recommended short NZD in our portfolio vs a basket of AUD and USD as...

The Reserve Bank thinks the recovery will look V-shaped. There are reasons to doubt it

May 09, 2020 06:37 am UTC| Economy Central Banks

The Reserve Banks long-awaited two-year forecasts for jobs, wages and growth are frightening, but I fear they are not frightening enough. The bank looks two years ahead every three months. The last set of forecasts,...

A Run Thorough On Norges Bank’s Surprising Cuts - Correlation Of Norwegian Krone Conducive For Asymmetric Shorts

May 08, 2020 11:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Norges Bank surprised general expectations yesterday and lowered interest rates by 25bp to now zero. At the same time it made it clear that this was the end of the line and that negative interest rates were not on the...

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Central Banking Series

RBA Maintains Status Quo In Expansionary Mode Of Monetary Policy - Relative Values in Aussies Via Optionality

May 05, 2020 12:08 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left its monetary policy unchanged this morning, but changed the rules for some collateral to assist with financing conditions on the capital markets. In its main scenario the RBA...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Shiba Inu Burn Rate Skyrockets: 81M SHIB Destroyed, Prices Surge

Shiba Inu, the beloved dog-themed meme coin, experiences an astounding 4000% surge in its burn rate, resulting in the destruction of over 81 million SHIB coins. This significant development has sparked optimism among...

Samsung Trails Apple, Remains 2nd in Global Tablet Rankings, Q1 2024

In the first quarter of 2024, Samsung emerged as the second-largest tablet manufacturer globally, despite a slight sales decline compared to last year, as the International Data Corporation (IDC) reported. Samsungs...

Russia's Crypto Clampdown: Tight Regulations Aim to Curb Cryptocurrency Activities

Russia is poised to enact stringent regulations on cryptocurrency trading, aiming to curb the mass trade of digital assets like Bitcoin within its borders. This move, driven by geopolitical tensions and sanctions, signals...

Bitcoin's Ongoing Battle at $64K; Cardano's Hoskinson Ends Ripple Debate

Bitcoin traders are on edge as the cryptocurrency battles to sustain its position above $64,000, with analyst Josh Olszewicz warning of lingering concerns. Meanwhile, Cardanos Charles Hoskinson settles the Ripple and XRP...
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