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Threading Opportunity: How an India–EU FTA Could Reweave Textile Fortunes

After almost 18 years of negotiations, an India–EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) recently reconfirmed by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is getting closer. Targeted for early 2026 completion, the deal could remove the current 12–16% duties on Indian textiles, so unlocking an estimated USD 1.5–2 billion in more yearly exports to the EU and forming a combined market of roughly 2 billion people. Political need to complete the FTA has greatly grown with the EU set to revoke certain tariff advantages for Indian textiles from January 2026, even though problems regarding intellectual property, carbon taxes, and agriculture are under discussion.

For the Indian textile industry, tariff reductions would be revolutionary, lowering Indian clothes about 8–12% in the EU market. India, which now controls just a 5–6% market share as opposed to China's 30%, would be better positioned to compete with duty-advantaged countries like Bangladesh and Vietnam thanks to this pricing advantage. Post- FTA, exports to the EU could grow 20–25% over a three-year span, providing an extra USD 2 billion opportunity past the present USD 7.6 billion and partially countering pressures from US tariffs and leveling the playing field with GSP beneficiaries.

As FTA possibilities get better, equity side tracking of textiles with substantial EU exposure becomes very important. With roughly 25% of its income originating from the UK/EU, Pearl Global Industries stands to benefit as it tries for parity with Bangladesh-based rivals. With around half of its business linked to the US/EU made-ups market, Indo Count Industries could see rapid EU expansion; Gokaldas Exports, which has boosted its EU share to around 13%, is ready to capture an extra USD 1–2 billion potential as tariff restrictions drop.

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