Quotes from Standard Chartered
- The biggest previous drop in global oil prices was in 1986, when they fell by 67%.
- The Thai economy benefited signficantly due to its net oil importer status, with economic growth accelerating to 9.5% in 1987 from 5.5% in 1986.
- This time, global oil prices have fallen more than 50% since mid-2014.
- Using the BoT's study as a guide, the recent fall in global oil prices, if sustained, could add 1.0ppt to GDP growth in 2015. However, the latest data indicates that the Thai economy continued to recover at a slow pace in January.
- Despite improving purchasing power via falling oil prices, household spending was flat as consumers remained cautious about spending due to rising leverage.
- Businesses, meanwhile, are still awaiting the execution of public investment projects, which have been delayed since last year.
- Externally, the export recovery remained sluggish in January owing to weak demand form China and ASEAN countries.