Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut interest rates tomorrow night or not? The reasons for and against are more or less balanced.
Falling sentiment indicators and a disappointing development on the labour market provided good reasons for a rate cut recently.
"However, the RBNZ already had sufficient reason for a rate cut at the last meeting as inflation in Q1 had eased to 0.1%, but it hesitated nonetheless. The RBNZ will wait for the publication of some important data such as Q1 GDP data, but will signal a rate cut for July in case of renewed weak data. However, a lower NZD-USD levels is expected to see again over the coming months as the RBNZ cannot really accept a notable NZD appreciation in the current economic environment", says Commerzbank in a report on Wednesday.


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