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Oil Prices Slide as OPEC, IEA Cut 2026 Demand Forecasts

Oil Prices Slide as OPEC, IEA Cut 2026 Demand Forecasts. Source: Photo by wetpainthtx

Oil prices fell sharply during Asian trading on Thursday as weaker global demand forecasts outweighed concerns over potential supply disruptions in West Asia.

Brent crude futures dropped 1.15% to $87.96 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures declined 1.2% to $82.24 per barrel. The losses followed a volatile Wednesday session, when conflicting statements from the U.S. and Iran over control of the Strait of Hormuz triggered sharp swings in crude oil prices.

Pressure on the oil market increased after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered their oil demand outlooks.

OPEC reduced its 2026 global oil demand growth forecast to 580,000 barrels per day, marking its fourth downward revision this year. Meanwhile, the IEA projected that oil demand will fall by 1.6 million barrels per day this year, reversing its previous estimate for growth of 1 million barrels per day.

Both organizations cited slowing economic growth, tighter fuel availability and elevated energy prices linked to the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran as major risks to consumption.

U.S. inventory data added further pressure, with crude oil stockpiles unexpectedly increasing by 17.4 million barrels last week. However, separate figures indicated a significant decline in the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve.

Despite Thursday's decline, oil prices remained higher over the past week as geopolitical risks continued to support the market. Washington and Tehran have both claimed control over the Strait of Hormuz, while shipping activity in the region has largely stalled following intensified military action in late July and early August.

The Strait of Hormuz remains crucial to global oil supply, having handled roughly 20% of worldwide oil consumption before the Iran conflict. Supply concerns have also intensified after Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis resumed attacks on vessels in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

With weaker oil demand forecasts competing against persistent geopolitical and shipping risks, crude markets could remain volatile as traders assess the outlook for global supply and consumption.

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