US Strikes Iran as Tehran Retaliates, Oil Prices Surge 
Zelenskiy Orders Probe Into Kyiv SBU-HUR Shootout 
US, Australia Pledge $580 Million for Pacific Islands 
Two Palestinian Teenagers Killed in West Bank Violence 
Maduro Seeks Dismissal of US Drug Trafficking Charges 
US Investigates Deadly Strike on Iranian Wedding 
Vietnam Leader To Lam Plans Russia, France, US and Canada Visits 
USS Abraham Lincoln Arrives in Thailand After Record 200 Days at Sea 
Iran War Civilian Toll Rises After U.S. Strikes Hit Wedding 
Nicaragua Congress Backs Reform Banning Opposition Parties 
US-Iran Conflict Escalates With New Strikes Near Hormuz 
Iran Strikes U.S. Bases in Kuwait as Hormuz Tensions Rise 
Lula Runs Cautious Brazil Election Campaign as Bolsonaro Narrows Poll Gap 
South Korea Weighs Military Support for Strait of Hormuz Security 
Greenland Says US Talks Remain Ongoing 
Australia, US Move to Expand Defence Ties in Indo-Pacific 
Add as a preferred source on Google
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva’s lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro has narrowed ahead of the October presidential election, according to a Datafolha poll released Thursday, reinforcing a tightening race reflected in other recent surveys.
In a potential runoff, Lula received 46% support compared with 44% for Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. The two-percentage-point gap is within Datafolha’s margin of error and marks a decline from the president’s advantage in mid-August.
The previous Datafolha survey showed Lula with 47% support against Bolsonaro’s 43%, giving the incumbent a four-point lead. The latest results suggest Bolsonaro has gained ground while Lula’s support has edged lower.
Other recent Brazilian election polls have pointed to a similar trend. Surveys conducted by Quaest and AtlasIntel/Bloomberg have also indicated that Lula’s advantage over Flavio Bolsonaro has narrowed in recent days, increasing attention on what could become a closely contested presidential race.
Datafolha’s first-round scenario still puts Lula in front. The Brazilian president would receive 38% of the vote, while Flavio Bolsonaro would secure 33%. Augusto Cury ranks third with 8%, followed by Ronaldo Caiado at 4%.
Those figures show relatively little movement from August, when Lula had 39% support and Bolsonaro stood at 33%. However, the tighter hypothetical runoff highlights the potential challenge facing Lula if the contest ultimately comes down to the two leading candidates.
Under Brazil’s electoral system, a presidential candidate must win more than 50% of valid votes in the first round to secure an outright victory. If nobody reaches that threshold, the top two candidates advance to a second-round runoff. Brazil has required a presidential runoff in every election since 2002.
Datafolha surveyed 2,002 people between September 1 and September 2. The poll carries a margin of error of two percentage points, meaning the latest Lula-Bolsonaro runoff figures indicate an especially competitive race as Brazil’s October election approaches.
