The US Federal Reserve has recently given a vibrant indication that the tightening cycle is over. Quantitative tightening will also end earlier than previously expected, helping to ensure global liquidity remains flush.
Treasuries continued to rally, with movements concentrated in the front end, steep ending the 2s/10s curve. Longer-dated USD swap spreads have narrowed sharply on convexity, hedging flows from RMBS investors.
The US Treasuries price action continued where it left off last week, with 10-year yields down another 2.5bps. USD swap spreads have capitulated on convexity hedging flows: 10-year swap spreads are now at their lowest since 2017. German bund yields were dragged lower by Treasuries after an initial sell-off following positive IFO Survey data. There was a widening of peripheral spreads in European yields, with Italian, Spanish and Portuguese yields up 3-5bps. Equity markets were broadly lower, with the FTSE closing off 0.4%, the DAX down 0.2%. The Dow Jones was up 0.1% and the Nasdaq was flat. The Apple services launch was not particularly well received by investors (AAPL -1.6%). WTI is currently up 0.7% at USD59.98/b, while gold is up 0.6% higher at USD1,322/oz.
Trading tips: Stay long in 3Mx2Y vs 3Mx30Y ATMF swaption straddles, simultaneously uphold longs in 3Mx2Y ATMF straddles with $1.5bn notional (notification 6/3/19, maturity 6/5/21, strike: 2.63%) at 35c vs selling 3Mx30Y ATMF straddles with $141mn notional (notification 6/3/19, maturity 6/5/49, strike 2.92%) at 415c. P/L since inception: +3.1abp. Courtesy: ANZ & JPM
Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's hourly EUR spot index is flashing 19 (which is mildly bullish), while hourly USD spot index was at 108 (bullish) while articulating (at 09:50 GMT).
For more details on the index, please refer below weblink: http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex


BOJ Raises Interest Rates to 1% as Inflation Pressures Persist
BOJ Raises Interest Rates to 31-Year High, Signals Strong Focus on Inflation Risks
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
Open-Source AI Models Gain Ground as Enterprises Seek Lower-Cost Alternatives, Citi Says
Should I take zinc or eat oysters to ward off colds, boost my immune system or improve fertility?
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty
Supreme Court Backs Lisa Cook, Defends Federal Reserve Independence Against Trump Firing Attempt
Taiwan Central Bank Likely to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged Through 2027
RBA Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 4.35% as Markets Watch AUD/USD and ASX 200
China Keeps Loan Prime Rates Unchanged for 13th Straight Month as Policymakers Prioritize Credit Demand Recovery
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 



