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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4 hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $2004.05

 

Kijun-Sen- $1993.56

 

Gold surged past $2000 on the weak US dollar. It hit a high of $2018 yesterday and is currently trading around  $2010.51.

 

Major economic data for the week

 

Nov 27th, 2023, US New home sales (3:00 pm GMT)

 

Nov 28th 2023, S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y (2:00pm GMT)

 

                            CB consumer confidence (3:00 pm GMT)

 

                            Richmond Manufacturing Index

 

US dollar index-   Bearish. Minor support around 103/102. The near-term resistance is 104/105.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in Dec decreased to 97% from 100% a week ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield showed a minor pullback after hitting a multi-week low.  The US 10 and 2-year spread widened to  -47% from -16%.

 

 Factors to watch for gold price action-

     

   Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)

 

  US dollar index - Weak (positive for gold)

 

  US10-year bond yield- Bearish (Positive for gold)

 

Technical:

 

The near–term support is around $1980, a break below targets of $1965/$1950/$1929/$1900/$1850. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2020 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2030/$2050.

 It is good to buy on dips around $1980-81 with SL around $1968 for TP of $2020.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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