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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY fails to hold above 133 handle, bearish divergence keeps scope for downside

  • EUR/JPY hit highs at 133.12 on dovish BoJ minutes which showed increasing support for more monetary easing.
     
  • Further, Kuroda stressed the need to keep the policy accommodative and said the exit from QQE will happen only after the 2 percent inflation target is achieved.
     
  • The pair however fails to hold gains above 133 handle, slips lower to currently trade at 132.67 levels.
     
  • We note Bearish divergence on RSI and Stochs which keeps scope for downside in the pair.
     
  • Strong support seen at 50-DMA at 132.27, break below will see further weakness.
     
  • Focus will now be on the final Eurozone/German PMI and Sentix investor confidence for trading impetus.

Support levels - 132.61 (5-DMA), 132.27 (50-DMA), 131.45 (Oct 30 low), 130.60 (100-DMA)

Resistance levels - 132.83 (20-DMA), 133. 133.49 (Oct 11 high)

Recommendation: Watch out for break below 50-DMA to go short, target 132/ 131.45/ 131.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at -27.8249 (Neutral), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at -112.542 (Bearish) at 0440 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

FxWirePro launches Absolute Return Managed Program. For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/invest

 

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November 24 15:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Index*

Actual

145.6 %

Forecast

Previous

145.6 %

November 24 14:45 UTC Released

US1st Half-Mth Infl YY*

Actual

54.6 %

Forecast

Previous

54.6 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 28522852m

ITExport Prices*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

111 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 28522852m

ITImport Prices*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

116.1 %

November 27 14:00 UTC 31523152m

MXTrade Balance, $*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1.886 Bln USD

November 27 14:00 UTC 31523152m

MXTrade Balance SA*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-1.559 Bln USD

November 27 15:30 UTC 32423242m

USDallas Fed mfg bus index

Actual

Forecast

Previous

27.6

November 27 21:00 UTC 35723572m

KRBOK Manufacturing BSI*

Actual

Forecast

Previous

87 Bln BRL

November 28 00:00 UTC 37523752m

BRCentral Govt Balance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

-22.725 Bln BRL

November 28 07:00 UTC 41724172m

DEGDP Growth QQ* Advance

Actual

Forecast

Previous

10.7 %

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