The Bank of Canada maintained its benchmark rate at 2.25%, in line with expectations, stating that its outlook for GDP and inflation has remained basically unchanged since October, albeit uncertainty continues to weigh on it. Trade tensions and tariffs are likely to hamper economic activity until the end of 2025, with growth forecast at 1.1% in 2026 and 1.5% in 2027.
The BoC expects inflation to ease further as temporary base effects from last year’s GST/HST holiday fade, allowing inflation to stay near the 2% target as excess supply offsets tariff-related cost pressures.
Policymakers said elevated uncertainty makes it difficult to predict the timing or direction of the next rate move, reinforcing a data-dependent approach. While the decision was widely expected, the Bank highlighted that geopolitical developments could impact the outlook in 2026.


RBA Set to Hike Rates Again Amid Inflation Surge and Global Uncertainty
RBA Set for Back-to-Back Rate Hikes, Westpac Forecasts
Goldman Sachs Raises ECB Rate Hike Forecast Amid Persistent Energy-Driven Inflation
Bank of Japan Governor Signals Gradual Progress Toward 2% Inflation Target
Fed Holds Rates Steady as Middle East Conflict Clouds Inflation Outlook
Bank of Japan Unveils New Inflation Gauge to Support Case for Future Rate Hikes
Fed Rate Cut Hopes Fade as Oil Prices Stoke Inflation Fears
China Holds Benchmark Loan Prime Rate Steady for Tenth Consecutive Month
ECB Eyes Rate Hike Amid Iran Conflict-Driven Energy Price Surge
Paraguay Central Bank Holds Interest Rate at 5.5% Amid Slowing Growth
Global Central Banks Hold Rates Amid Iran War-Driven Energy Price Surge 



