In the aftermath of the spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) launch, the primary cryptocurrency has encountered a decline, briefly revisiting the $49,000 level.
As attention now pivots to Bitcoin's short-term price trajectory, there is growing concern about the risk of breaching the critical $40,000 support level. Speculation was rife after Bitcoin dipped below $41,000 on January 20, prompting a closer examination of its near-term prospects.
Expert Analysis Points to Historical Patterns
Crypto trading expert FieryTrading, in a TradingView post on January 20, delved into the Bitcoin price forecast post-ETF hype. His analysis unearthed a correlation between bear market bottoms and Bitcoin's price dynamics during halving events.
According to Fin Bold, FieryTrading highlighted a speculative pattern reminiscent of the second and third halving events, where price increases of 300% and 200% off the bottom were observed, respectively. He suggested a plausible move towards $31,000 for Bitcoin based on this historical trajectory.
Amidst ETF Disappointment, Focus Shifts to Halving Event
With the ETF falling short of expectations in influencing Bitcoin's price action, attention has shifted to other potential catalysts, notably the upcoming halving event scheduled for April. There is anticipation that the ETF's impact will be complemented by the halving, as observed in the projections of figures like SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci, who predicts a $170,000 Bitcoin price by 2025.
Despite Bitcoin's initial response to the ETF, the product has demonstrated noteworthy overall performance, attracting substantial trading volume within days.
Current Bitcoin Status and Technical Analysis
As of this writing, Bitcoin trades at $41,743, registering daily losses of less than 1% and a weekly decline exceeding 2%. Bitcoin technical analysis reveals prevailing bearish sentiments, with one-day gauges summarily indicating a 'neutral' rating at 7.
According to Crypto Potato, moving averages signal a 'sell' sentiment at 9, while oscillators maintain a 'buy' sentiment at 4. Investors closely monitor Bitcoin's ability to sustain gains above the crucial $40,000 support zone amid ongoing market dynamics.
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