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Over the past decade, China has emerged as global superpower of economics and Geo-politics. Chinese currency Yuan has emerged as top contender to Challenge global dominance of Dollar. This year in Yuan might join International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket, strengthening Yuan’s position as global reserve currency. In this series, we discuss about China, its politics, economics, and vulnerabilities with a view of Renminbi.

Renminbi Series

Weak CNY/CNH exchange rate likely in imminent future

Dec 09, 2015 08:40 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas CPI inflation for November increased to 1.5% year on year from 1.3% in previous month. The CPI inflation in November is mainly driven by the food prices as it inched up to 2.3 year on year against 1.9% in previous...

Renminbi Series

China FX reserve tumbles over outflow and valuation

Dec 08, 2015 11:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Chinas FX reserve tumbled by $87 billion in November, despite positive current account of $54.1 billion, bringing back fears of outflow return, which massacred Chinas FX reserve in August, when FX reserve fell by record...

Renminbi Series

CNY likely to depreciate further

Dec 07, 2015 05:32 am UTC| Commentary

The FX market is likely to strengthen ahead of FOMC meeting on 16th December, says Barclays. On the other hand, if China allows CNY to depreciate, the regional currencies will be under pressure. USDCNY pair increased to...

Renminbi Series

Fitch: Taiwan Banks Face Derivatives Risks as Chinese Yuan Weakens

Dec 07, 2015 01:28 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Taiwanese banks, mostly private-sector ones, face increasing risks from leveraged products due to the depreciation of the Chinese yuan, Fitch Ratings says. Latest financial reports reveal Taiwanese banks rising exposure...

Renminbi Series

USDCNY on the verge of a break higher

Dec 07, 2015 00:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

USDAsia crosses have failed to gain upward momentum in the past week after the ECB disappointed markets. Although the FX market is likely to consolidate ahead of the FOMC statement on 16 December, the risk to regional...

Renminbi Series

China’s FX reserves likely resumed decline in November

Dec 04, 2015 09:37 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas Foreign Reserve is expected to be USD 3482.5 billion as per the market consensus in the month of November. In October, the FX reserves were USD 3525.5 bn. Chinas FX reserves probably resumed its decline in...

Renminbi Series

CNY-CNH spread under pressure

Dec 04, 2015 09:14 am UTC| Commentary Technicals

Chinas central bank has lowered CNY-CNH spread by 131pps to 6.3851, to a two-week low. There were strong USD longs in onshore market as the lower fixing rate helps the corporates which need to hedge/unwind short USD...

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Economy

Russian LNG Shadow Fleet Expands Amid Arctic LNG 2 Sanctions

Russia is intensifying efforts to bypass Western energy sanctions after a liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker operating under a newly adopted Russian flag was spotted loading fuel linked to the sanctioned Arctic LNG 2...

S&P 500, Nasdaq Hit Record Highs as AI Stocks Rally and Strong Jobs Data Boost Confidence

The SP 500 and Nasdaq closed at fresh record highs on Friday as investors poured into AI-related stocks and welcomed stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data, reinforcing confidence in the resilience of the American economy....

Dollar Slips as Strong U.S. Jobs Data Reduces Fed Rate Cut Expectations

The U.S. dollar weakened on Friday after stronger-than-expected April jobs data reduced speculation about potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Investor sentiment also improved after President Donald Trump stated...

European Stocks Fall as US-Iran Conflict Rekindles Energy Supply Fears

European stock markets closed lower on Friday as renewed military tensions between the United States and Iran rattled investor confidence and intensified concerns about global energy supplies. The escalating conflict...

Gold Prices Rise as Weaker Dollar and Iran Ceasefire Hopes Boost Safe-Haven Demand

Gold prices climbed on Friday and were set for a strong weekly gain as the U.S. dollar weakened following the latest U.S. jobs report. Investors also turned to safe-haven assets amid ongoing tensions in the Middle East and...

Politics

Israel’s Secret Iraq Base Allegedly Supported Iran Air Campaign, WSJ Reports

Israel reportedly established a covert military outpost deep in the Iraqi desert to support its recent air campaign against Iran, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar with the operation,...

Senate Stablecoin Bill Sparks Clash Between Banks and Crypto Industry

A major fight over U.S. crypto regulation is heating up as lawmakers prepare to advance the CLARITY Act, a proposed bill designed to create a clear regulatory framework for digital assets and stablecoins. The legislation...

Trump-Xi Beijing Summit to Focus on Trade, Taiwan, and Boeing Deal

U.S. President Donald Trump is set to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing from May 14 to May 15, marking the first visit by an American president to the Chinese capital in nearly ten years. According to Reuters,...

Trump Reportedly Approves Plan to Remove FDA Commissioner Marty Makary Amid Growing Controversies

President Donald Trump has reportedly approved a plan to remove U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) Commissioner Marty Makary, according to sources familiar with discussions inside the White House. While officials say...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

AI-Driven Inflation Raises U.S. Consumer Prices, Goldman Sachs Says

Artificial intelligence is starting to increase U.S. consumer prices through rising costs in electronics, software, and electricity, according to a new Goldman Sachs report. The investment bank said AI-related inflation...

Judge Delays SEC Settlement With Elon Musk Over Twitter Stock Disclosure Case

A federal judge has declined to immediately approve a proposed $1.5 million settlement between Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) tied to Musks 2022 Twitter stock purchase disclosures. The...

Broadcom Eyes $35 Billion AI Chip Financing Deal With Apollo and Blackstone

Broadcom Inc. is reportedly in discussions with Apollo Global Management and Blackstone Inc. to secure around $35 billion in financing for its expanding artificial intelligence chip business, according to a Bloomberg...

Dell Stock Hits Record High After Trump Endorsement, AI Server Demand Fuels Rally

Dell Technologies Inc. (NYSE: DELL) surged to an all-time high on Friday after receiving a public endorsement from President Donald Trump during a White House event. The president encouraged Americans to go out and buy...

TikTok Nears $400 Million Settlement With Trump Administration Over Child Privacy Lawsuit

TikTok and the Trump administration are reportedly close to reaching a $400 million settlement tied to allegations that the popular video-sharing platform violated U.S. child privacy laws. According to ABC News, the...
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