FxWirePro: DXY hammer to extend upswing upto 21-DMAs, gravestones and shooting stars in major trend to counter, leading and lagging indicators in bears’ favor

Apr 21, 2017 13:39 pm UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

The US dollar index forms hammer pattern candlestick at 99.84 levels, historically, the bulls test the support at the same levels and the same bullish pattern has occurred to the evidence the upswings upto the peaks of...

FxWirePro: Hunt for gamma risk premiums in EUR rates

Apr 21, 2017 12:03 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The EUR short rates gamma risk premium is likely to start depreciating vs longer expiries early next week unless the French elections disappoint. Buying collars at the EUR front end remains a cheap way to position for...

FxWirePro: Eurozone inflation still lacklustre – Indexed linked and sovereign derivatives

Apr 21, 2017 11:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Euro area inflation breakeven has undergone a recent correction, but we like to fade this move in the near term, given the chances of a risk-friendly environment and higher inflation in April. We favor IOTA trades in core...

FxWirePro: Long-term risk reversals softened for sterling on better odds on EU-UK trade pact – Rosy time for option writers to use interim rallies and short vols

Apr 21, 2017 10:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Do you think GBPUSD is the worst behind us? Are Brexit negotiations better prospects? Prime Minister May surprised the market by calling for a snap general election on 8 June. The possibility of a hard Brexit has...

FxWirePro: Trivial elevation to GBP forecast on better macro and Brexit developments but bearish still linger - Shorting downside and volatility via seagull

Apr 21, 2017 10:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

GBP has performed better over the past month than we had expected. The trade-weighted index looked to be breaking down in March on evidence of a broader economic slowdown but has since rallied 2% on a combination of better...

FxWirePro: Faltering reflation trade slips up dollar

Apr 21, 2017 07:11 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views Economy

Faltering US inflation expectations have emboldened the market to mark down its expectations of the Fed rate path. This has robbed the dollar of yield support. Absent a shock result in the French election, the euro should...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY mounting hedging sentiments in major downtrend – Add vega longs in put back spreads as RR and IVs highest among G7 space

Apr 21, 2017 06:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals of euro crosses (especially in EURJPY) have shown a mounting bearish interest as the progressive increase in negative numbers signify the traction for hedging sentiments for further downside...