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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex

My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Underpaid, overworked and drowning in debt: you wonder why young people are voting again?

Oct 08, 2017 02:28 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The 2017 general election was highly unusual as far as the youth vote was concerned. The Labour party won 65% the lions share of the youth vote. The nearest comparisons are with 1964 and 1997. In both those years, Labour...

Briferendum Aftermath Series

Is this really the Brexit election?

Apr 30, 2017 14:09 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

The rapidly approaching 2017 general election has already been dubbed the Brexit election. Many assume that Brexit will be the decisive issue in the campaign. A recent poll by IPSOS-MORI suggests that just over half of...

Down but not out: diagnosing UKIP's biggest problems

Mar 18, 2017 06:55 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

UKIP seems to have lurched from crisis to crisis since achieving its founding ambition to take the UK out of the European Union. However, UKIP still has noteworthy support. It might be down, but it certainly isnt...

US Election Series

Four possible explanations why most of the polls got the US election wrong

Nov 10, 2016 22:24 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

In the US presidential election, the final poll of polls compiled by Real Clear Politics predicted that Hillary Clinton would win 46.8% of the popular vote and Donald Trump 43.6%. In the end, Clinton won 47.7% and her...

Briferendum Series

Why did older voters choose Brexit? It's a matter of identity

Jun 26, 2016 19:10 pm UTC| Insights & Views Politics

Just a few days before the EU referendum on June 19 and 20 we carried out an internet survey of the electorate in Britain and asked more than 2,100 people how they were planning to vote. Some 49% of respondents...

Briferendum Series

Poll of polls: how worried should Remain be as voters come off fence?

Jun 15, 2016 07:47 am UTC| Insights & Views

The campaign to keep Britain in the EU has suffered a significant blow at a crucial point in the EU referendum battle with an ICM poll putting Leave further ahead than ever before. The poll, published by The Guardian,...

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Economy

U.S. Treasuries suffer ahead of initial jobless claims, 10-year TIPS auction

The U.S. Treasuries continued to be beaten Thursday as investors look forward to the countrys weekly initial jobless claims, scheduled to be released today by 13:30GMT, followed by the Philly Fed Manufacturing index, due...

UK gilts slump on expectations of decline in December retail sales

The UK gilts slumped Thursday on expectations that the countrys December retail sales, due on January 19 by 09:30GMT will fall -0.6 percent, compared to 1.1 percent in November, adding further direction to the debt...

Global Geopolitical Series: Trump likely to slap hefty fines on China over intellectual property theft

U.S. President Donald Trump is likely to take his trade war with China to the next level by slapping a hefty fine over Chinas intellectual property theft. In an interview with Reuters, Trump and his economic adviser Gary...

German bunds plunge in silent trading session ahead of ECB member Coeure’s speech

The German bunds plunged Thursday amid a silent trading session ahead of European Central Bank (ECB) member Coeures speech, scheduled to be held today by 14:30GMT for further direction in the debt market. The German...

Australian unemployment rate likely to trend lower over next few months, remain supportive of wage growth recovery

Australias unemployment rate is expected to trend lower over the next few months, which should help to support an eventual recovery in wage growth, according to a recent report from ANZ Research. Looking at the countrys...

Politics

GOP tax plan doubles down on policies that are crushing the middle class

The U.S. middle class has always had a special mystique. It is the heart of the American dream. A decent income and home, doing better than ones parents, and retiring in comfort are all hallmarks of a middle-class...

What does Ramaphosa's victory mean for South Africa's economy?

A great deal is expected from Cyril Ramaphosa who was elected as the president of South Africas governing party, the African National Congress (ANC). This positions him to become the countrys president in 2019. Sibonelo...

Cyril Ramaphosa prepares to confront South Africa's bleak future

Among all the remarkable turns in African politics this year, one of the most momentous was Decembers ANC party congress in South Africa, where the party chose a new president: Cyril Ramaphosa, who narrowly bested...

Is the British monarchy actually adapting to changing social norms?

Is the royal marriage story were being sold really a fairy tale come true? Or is it a story spun by Buckingham Palace for its own self-interest, one shrouded in myth and make-believe? In the coverage of next summers...

Politics won out over international law in recent UN elections

For the first time in the courts history, the UK will not have a judge sitting at the International Court of Justice (ICJ). Christopher Greenwood, who was seeking a second nine-year term, pulled out of the race on November...

Science

Urban Farming Could Be Humanity’s Best Hope To Solve Deforestation And World Hunger

World hunger and global deforestation are two of the biggest problems assaulting humanity right now. Sure, theres also climate change, but it can almost be considered an umbrella under which all of the global threats from...

Automation Takes Over Stem Cell Manufacturing Too, FDA Approves

When discussing stem cell research, most people would likely bring up scientists harvesting stem cells from living tissue. While this is certainly true, there is now a new method that would allow researchers to manufacture...

Popular Pain Medication Ibuprofen Could Lead To Male Infertility, Study Says

Ibuprofen is one the most well-known pain medications in the West, taken by millions of people every day. Its a particular favorite of many athletes who suffer from muscle soreness and joint pains. According to a recent...

Scientists 3D-Print Living Tissue That Form Shapes, Pointless Or Gateway To Westworld?

Synthetic tissue has been a huge source of excitement in the scientific community for years, especially after 3D-printing technology really took off. Recently, scientists reveal that they were able to create shapes with...

Climate Change Impact Will Include More Asylum Seekers In Cooler Countries, Study Says

The impact that climate change can have is nearly universal. It pervades every aspect of human and animal life, making the planet uninhabitable by the day. One of the most alarming results of the increasingly hostile...

Technology

Apple Employees Get $2,500 Bonuses In Celebration Of Major Tax Cut

Apple might be a little late to the celebration game, but it will reportedly be giving employees $2,500 in bonuses to celebrate the recently passed tax cut bill. These bonuses will supposedly come in restricted stock units...

iPhone Users Beware, New iMessage ‘Text Bug’ Is Freezing Devices

A new bug that targets the iMessage feature on iPhones called chaiOS is currently floating around. Users who receive a message containing this bug are warned not to open it because it will cause their devices to crash....

Apple To Pay $38 Billion In Tax For Plans To Bring Home Its Billions From Overseas

Apple recently announced that it would be bringing home the bulk of its overseas funds, which happens to be the largest of any U.S. company. This would involve paying $38 billion in taxes, but it seems the company doesnt...

Apple Is Hiring For Work-From-Home Jobs Positions

Job hunters might want to perk up and pay attention. Apple is currently looking for new employees for both full-time and part-time positions that would allow them to work from home. Officially called At Home Advisors, the...

China Adds To Apple iPhone Slowdown Woes, Wants Answers

Yet another consumer group from a major smartphone market is looking for answers from Apple with regards to the issue of slowing down older iPhones. The Shanghai Consumer Council sent the Cupertino firm a letter, asking...
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January 18 15:30 UTC Released

USNat Gas, Change Bcf

Actual

-183 Cubic feet

Forecast

-199 Cubic feet

Previous

-359 Cubic feet

January 18 13:30 UTC Released

USPhilly Fed Capex Index

Actual

36.2 Mln

Forecast

Previous

38 Mln

January 18 21:30 UTC 343343m

NZManufacturing PMI

Actual

Forecast

Previous

57.7 0

January 19 07:00 UTC 913913m

DEProducer Prices MM

Actual

Forecast

Previous

0.1 %

January 19 07:00 UTC 913913m

DEProducer Prices YY

Actual

Forecast

Previous

2.5 %

January 19 08:00 UTC 973973m

HUGross Wages YY

Actual

Forecast

Previous

12.8 0

January 19 09:00 UTC 10331033m

EZCurrent Account NSA,EUR

Actual

Forecast

Previous

35.9 Bln EUR

January 19 09:00 UTC 10331033m

EZCurrent Account SA, EUR

Actual

Forecast

Previous

30.8 Bln EUR

January 19 09:30 UTC 10631063m

GBRetail Sales MM

Actual

Forecast

Previous

1.1 %

January 19 09:30 UTC 10631063m

GBFuel MM

Actual

Forecast

Previous

1.2 %

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