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Paul Whiteley

Paul Whiteley

Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex
My research interests involve examining the nature & significance of political participation, particularly electoral participation, & also in understanding the causes & effects of public opinion on politics.

Biden's low approval ratings don't mean he is bound to lose the 2024 US election -- here's why

Nov 19, 2023 05:37 am UTC| Politics

US Democrats have been spooked by some recent polling which suggests that voters intend to pick Donald Trump ahead of Joe Biden in some key states in the 2024 presidential election. A CNN poll reported on the website...

Why the assumption that British voters switch to the Conservatives as they grow older is wrong

Nov 05, 2023 20:33 pm UTC| Politics

If a man is not a socialist by the time he is 20, he has no heart. If he is not a conservative by the time he is 40, he has no brain. At first glance, this quote, attributed to Winston Churchill, appears to fit the...

People experiencing news fatigue are less likely to be voters

Oct 19, 2023 04:46 am UTC| Health

In a comprehensive analysis of news consumption across the globe, a recent report by Reuters concluded that interest in news continues to decline, fuelling disengagement and selective news avoidance. In the 46 countries...

US election 2024: beware polling predictions as they can be wrong – but here's an approach which has often been on the money

Aug 24, 2023 07:45 am UTC| Politics

Despite the avalanche of legal indictments, Donald Trump remains favourite to win the Republican nomination for the 2024 US presidential election. According to a poll reported by the website Real Clear Politics on August...

Rising inflation will continue to cause political headaches for the government, but also for the Bank of England

Mar 28, 2023 14:18 pm UTC| Economy

The Bank of England raised its main interest rate for the eleventh time in a row to 4.25% at its March meeting. At its previous meeting in February the Bank was optimistic about the prospects for inflation in the coming...

Humza Yousaf becomes Scotland's first minister: a decade of polls suggest he'll struggle to deliver independence, just like Nicola Sturgeon

Mar 28, 2023 14:18 pm UTC| Politics

Humza Yousaf is to be the first minister of Scotland after narrowly winning the election for leader of the Scottish National Party. In his victory speech, he said he was determined to deliver independence for Scotland. But...

Strikes: why refusing public sector pay rises won't help reduce inflation

Jan 24, 2023 05:33 am UTC| Economy

The UK government has not yet resolved the thorny issue of ongoing public sector pay disputes, despite the fact that these workers are suffering much more from the cost of living crisis than their private sector...

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Economy

China's Tariffs on U.S. Oil and LNG Could Disrupt Trade, Prompt Waiver Requests

Chinas planned tariffs on U.S. crude oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG), set to take effect on February 10, are expected to prompt traders to seek waivers, trade sources said. Beijing announced a 15% levy on U.S. LNG and...

Domino’s Australia Stock Soars 24% After Announcing Store Closures and Profitability Boost

Shares of Dominos Pizza Enterprises (NYSE: DPZ) surged 23.8% to A$36.68 on Friday, marking their largest intraday gain ever. The rally follows the companys announcement to close 205 underperforming stores, aiming to...

Bank of Canada Warns of Economic Risks from U.S. Tariff Uncertainty

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem warned that U.S. policy shifts and President Donald Trumps tariff threats are creating economic uncertainty. Speaking at a virtual conference in Mexico City, Macklem noted that the mere...

U.S.-China Trade War Threatens U.S. Crude Exports in 2025

Rising trade tensions between the U.S. and China may push U.S. crude exports lower in 2025 for the first time since the pandemic. Analysts warn that Chinese tariffs could limit U.S. oil access to the worlds largest energy...

Stock Futures Slip as Amazon Tumbles on Weak Outlook, Eyes on Jobs Data

U.S. stock index futures edged lower Thursday evening, pressured by a sharp drop in Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) after the e-commerce giant issued a weak revenue forecast for Q1 2025. The company projected sales between $151...

Politics

Iran Condemns U.S. Sanctions on Oil Shipments to China

Iran has strongly criticized new U.S. sanctions targeting its oil shipments, calling them illegitimate and unlawful. The sanctions, announced by the U.S. Treasury on Thursday, focus on individuals and tankers involved in...

Rubio to Visit Middle East Amid Backlash Over Trump’s Gaza Plan

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio will visit Israel and key Arab nations from February 13-18, marking his first Middle East trip since President Donald Trumps controversial proposal to relocate Palestinians in Gaza. His...

Sara Duterte Prepares for Impeachment, Welcomes Father’s Support in Legal Battle

Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte said she has been preparing for impeachment since last year and welcomed her father, former President Rodrigo Duterte, to join her defense team if he wished. Speaking at a press...

Trump’s Gaza Plan Faces Global Backlash and Legal Concerns

U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Israel would transfer control of Gaza to the U.S. after the war, claiming Palestinians would be resettled elsewhere, eliminating the need for American troops. His proposal to...

Trump's Special Envoy Discusses Ukraine Conflict in Key Meeting

U.S. President Donald Trumps special envoy for Ukraine and Russia, Keith Kellogg, met with Ukraines ambassador to Washington, Oksana Markarova, for their first official discussion. Markarova described the meeting as a...

Science

South African telescope discovers a giant galaxy that’s 32 times bigger than Earth’s

Inkathazos glowing plasma jets are shown in red and yellow. The starlight from other surrounding galaxies can be seen in the background. K.K.L Charlton (UCT), MeerKAT, HSC, CARTA, IDIA, CC BY You may not know it, but right...

It’s science, not fiction: high-tech drones may soon be fighting bushfires in Australia

Picture this. Its a summer evening in Australia. A dry lightning storm is about to sweep across remote, tinder-dry bushland. The next day is forecast to be hot and windy. A lightning strike tonight could spark a fire that...

Earth is bombarded with rocks from space – but who gets to keep these ultimate antiques?

Every day, about 48.5 tonnes of space rock hurtle towards Earth. Meteorites that fall into the ocean are never recovered. But the ones that crash on land can spark debates about legal ownership. Globally, meteorite hunting...

Most of us trust scientists, shows a survey of nearly 72,000 people worldwide

Public trust in scientists is vital. It can help us with personal decisions on matters like health and provide evidence-based policymaking to assist governments with crises such as the COVID pandemic or climate change. In...

Astronauts on NASA’s Artemis mission to the Moon will need better boots − here’s why

The U.S.s return to the Moon with NASAs Artemis program will not be a mere stroll in the park. Instead it will be a perilous journey to a lunar location representing one of the most extreme environments in the solar...

Technology

Xiaomi Hits Record High as China’s Subsidy Program Boosts EV and Tech Stocks

Xiaomi Corp (OTC: XIACF, HK: 1810) shares surged to an all-time high on Friday, fueled by investor optimism over Chinas nationwide subsidy program aimed at boosting sales of electric vehicles (EVs) and smartphones. The...

OpenAI’s Stargate AI Data Centers Face Global AI Competition from China’s DeepSeek

OpenAI is actively evaluating U.S. states for its massive Stargate AI data center initiative, aiming to secure Americas lead in artificial intelligence against China. Chris Lehane, OpenAIs chief global affairs officer,...

Tesla Raises Model X Prices by $5,000 in the U.S.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has increased the prices of its Model X vehicles in the United States by $5,000, according to an update on its official website. The price hike applies to both variants of the electric SUV, reflecting...

Xiaomi CEO Lei Jun Signals Expansion of EV Production Capacity

Xiaomi (OTC: XIACF) is accelerating its push into the electric vehicle (EV) market, with CEO and founder Lei Jun announcing plans to expand production capacity. In a post on his social media account on Friday, Lei...

Cerebras and Mistral Achieve AI Speed Record, Challenging OpenAI and DeepSeek

Cerebras Systems, a leading AI chipmaker backed by UAE tech giant G42, has teamed up with Frances Mistral to set a new AI speed record. Mistral, an emerging player in open-source AI, aims to compete with Meta, Chinas...
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