No improvement in Chile’s economy, while inflation has declined

Nov 11, 2015 00:08 am UTC| Commentary Economy

There is no sign of significant improvement in Chiles growth outlook (although September growth number surprised to the upside) since the last meeting and the economy continues to grow significantly below its trend, which...

Czech Republic GDP correction to be expected after rapid growth in the first half of the year

Nov 10, 2015 23:45 pm UTC| Commentary

A slight correction is expected in Czech GDP from the high pace seen in the first half of the year, despite solid growth in industry. On the production side, the growth of in taxes on products is expected to slow slightly,...

Poland's Q3’15 flash GDP growth trend set to continue

Nov 10, 2015 23:23 pm UTC| Commentary

Polands Q315 GDP growth flash estimate is expected to come in at 3.4% yoy (NSA). The statistic base effect will be supportive for Q3 data. In recent months, we have observed far weaker retail sales growth (both in nominal...

China's activity growth to rebound

Nov 10, 2015 22:49 pm UTC| Commentary

It has been six months since the bottoming out of credit growth. Past history suggests that activity growth should start to turn up now. Earlier this month, the Caixin manufacturing PMI report improved more than expected...

UK headline earnings growth should continue to rise

Nov 10, 2015 22:26 pm UTC| Commentary

The labour release should report that the LFS unemployment rate held steady at 5.4% in the three months to September but the more timely claimant count data for October is likely to show a rise of 5k, which would be the...

US import prices declined more than expected in October

Nov 10, 2015 22:11 pm UTC| Commentary

Total US import prices declined 0.5% m/m in October, much softer than the consensus expectations (-0.1%). Nonpetroleum import prices also fell at a faster pace than anticipated, dropping 0.4% m/m. The greater-than-expected...

Final German HICP inflation to remain unchanged from its flash estimate

Nov 10, 2015 21:52 pm UTC| Commentary

Final German HICP is expected to remain unchanged from its flash estimate of 0.2% yoy in October, notably stronger than its September reading of -0.2% yoy. The national index also jumped from 0.0% yoy to 0.3% yoy in...