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China Crisis Series

Supply-side structural reforms likely to pose headwinds to China’s growth in short-term

Mar 03, 2016 10:30 am UTC| Commentary Economy Politics

The NPC is expected to keep the supply-side structural reforms topic as its main topic on the macro policy agenda. Their key impact on financial markets is expected to be through the execution and implementation of five...

China Crisis Series

China’s fiscal policy likely to be moderately expansionary in 2016-2017

Mar 03, 2016 10:04 am UTC| Commentary Politics

The China National Peoples Congress (NPC) meeting might give certain upside surprise in fiscal policy. The NPC is expected to stress on a more proactive fiscal policy in 2016 with above expected fiscal deficit recorded in...

Briferendum Series

Briferendum series: What will exactly happen if UK votes 'leave'

Mar 03, 2016 09:46 am UTC| Commentary

What will happen if UK chooses to exit EU? Vote on EU referendum is scheduled on June 23rd, 2016 and if Britons do vote in favor of exiting that will automatically invoke Article 50 negotiations of Lisbon Treaty. So...

Norwegian economic outlook slightly weaker than expected, key interest rates likely to reach zero by 2016-end

Mar 03, 2016 09:28 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Norways central bank is expected to further lower rates three times in 2016. The key rates are likely to reach zero by the end of 2016. There are many reasons for this. Oil prices are lower and are expected to remain low...

US labor market continues to be on track, no threat to job growth from fall in manufacturing employment

Mar 03, 2016 09:09 am UTC| Commentary

The US ADP employment report showed private payroll growth of 214k in February, as compared with consensus expectations of 190k and Januarys revised figure of 193k. Employers in the goods producing job added 5k to payrolls...

Denmark’s FX reserve decline in February, DN likely to mirror ECB’s expected rate cut move

Mar 03, 2016 08:53 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Denmarks FX reserve fell from DKK430bn in January to DKK422bn in February. DKK 8.4bn of the fall was because Danmarks Nationalbank (DN) bought DKK in FX intervention to cap EUR/DKK upside. The central bank likely carried...

Euro area growth outlook weak on external factors, heightened uncertainty headwinds to business investments

Mar 03, 2016 08:52 am UTC| Commentary

Businesses in the euro area are likely to be wary regarding initiating new investments due to weakness in global growth, financial turmoil and moderate growth in investments on risks of Brexit. These doubts will dominate...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Hong Kong Central Bank Leads Initiative to Explore Asset Tokenization Advancements

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has spearheaded the formation of a specialized community to explore asset tokenization. Partnering with various industry players and regulators, this initiative seeks to drive...

Shiba Inu Lead Shytoshi Kusama Unveils Mysterious 'Evita' Teaser, Sparking Frenzy

Shytoshi Kusama, the elusive figure at the helm of the renowned cryptocurrency Shiba Inu (SHIB), has set tongues wagging with a cryptic teaser shared across social media platforms. The enigmatic message features the word...

Amazon Opens Online Shopping for South African Customers

Amazon has finally arrived in South Africa. With its launch in the region, Jeff Bezos e-commerce platform is expected to compete with the leading local online shopping player, Takealot.com. The American e-commerce giant...

Apple Embarks on AI Chip Development for Data Center Capabilities

Apple Inc. is set to transform the tech landscape with its newly developed AI chip, tailored specifically for data center operations. Dubbed Project ACDC, this initiative marks a significant leap in server technology,...
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