European Stocks Steady as U.S.-Iran War, Euro Zone Data Keep Investors Cautious 
China Automakers Accelerate Global Expansion as Domestic Car Sales Slump 
Oil Prices Slide as OPEC, IEA Cut 2026 Demand Forecasts 
Gold Prices Rise as Weak US Retail Sales Cut Fed Rate Hike Bets 
S&P 500 Retreats From Record High as AI Stocks Slide, Retail Sales Disappoint 
KOSPI Eyes Best Weekly Gain Since June as Samsung, SK Hynix Rally 
Japan Government Backs Earlier BOJ Rate Hike as Inflation Pressures Build 
Oil Prices Fall as U.S. Crude Inventories Surge and Hormuz Tensions Persist 
Asian Currencies Edge Higher as Soft US Inflation Weighs on Dollar 
KOSPI Rebounds 20% as Samsung, SK Hynix Lead South Korea Stock Rally 
US Dollar Holds Firm as Fed Outlook and Iran Tensions Keep Markets on Edge 
S&P 500 Hits Record High as Soft Inflation Data Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears 
Canada-US Trade Talks Gain Momentum Ahead of Aug. 19 Tariff Deadline 
Asian Currencies Steady Ahead of US CPI as Oil Prices Rise 
UK Economy Posts Surprise June Growth as World Cup and Hot Weather Lift Activity 
Strait of Hormuz Shipping Near Standstill After New Vessel Attacks 
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Vietnam's Trade Prospects Amid Trump’s Return
Vietnam's trade with the United States could face increased volatility if Donald Trump wins a second term as president, according to officials and supply chain experts. While Vietnam stands to benefit from U.S.-China trade tensions, it may also suffer "collateral damage" to Trump's protectionist policies.
Trade Surplus with the U.S.
As a major exporter to the U.S., Vietnam reported a $90 billion trade surplus with Washington by September, ranking fourth after China, the EU, and Mexico. The country has been a significant beneficiary of Trump's tariff hikes on Chinese goods during his first presidency.
Risks of Protectionism
Trump’s threat to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese imports and an additional 20% tariff on all imports could severely disrupt global trade. Vietnam’s trade surplus with the U.S. is partly due to its role as an assembly hub for Chinese-made components, occasionally leading to U.S. sanctions for illegal transshipment.
Shift in Supply Chains
While protectionism may harm Vietnam's trade, it could also drive further shifts in supply chains from China to other markets. Vietnam is expected to remain a key destination for companies relocating production, as noted by international law expert Leif Schneider.
Diplomatic and Economic Strategies
To reduce trade tensions, Vietnam may purchase high-value U.S. imports like Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) and military equipment, along with a potential partnership involving a $1.5 billion Trump Organization project in Vietnam.
Uncertainty Ahead
Experts agree that while Vietnam's ability to attract companies leaving China remains strong, any shift in U.S. trade policy could bring both opportunities and challenges, making the actual impact of a second Trump presidency uncertain.
