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U.S. stock futures edged higher Monday as investors weighed escalating tensions surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz while preparing for crucial U.S. inflation data later this week.
S&P 500 futures gained about 0.1%, while Nasdaq 100 futures advanced roughly 0.3%. Dow futures slipped 0.1%. The cautious trading followed Friday’s Wall Street gains after U.S. employment data showed the economy unexpectedly lost 23,000 jobs in July, with previous months also revised lower. The weaker labor market reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may avoid raising interest rates at its next meeting.
Geopolitical uncertainty remains a major market concern after Iran outlined conditions that it says must be satisfied before reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran’s demands reportedly include ending the war and naval blockade, lifting sanctions, releasing frozen Iranian assets and paying reparations.
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical route for global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments, making any prolonged disruption a significant risk to energy markets and the global economy. Brent crude futures climbed around 0.5% to $83.95 per barrel as traders assessed the possibility of continued supply disruptions.
Meanwhile, Berkshire Hathaway reduced its enormous cash reserves to $364.7 billion during the second quarter under CEO Greg Abel. The conglomerate became a net buyer of stocks for the first time in 15 quarters and invested billions in major holdings, including Alphabet. Berkshire also repurchased $4.53 billion of its own shares during the quarter.
Investor attention now turns to Wednesday’s U.S. Consumer Price Index report. Annual headline CPI inflation is expected to ease to 3.4% in July from 3.5%, while core CPI is forecast to slow to 2.5% from 2.6%. Persistent inflation, combined with signs of labor market weakness, could complicate the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate outlook.
In China, July consumer inflation also came in below expectations. CPI increased 0.5% year over year, compared with forecasts of 0.8%, highlighting continued weakness in domestic price pressures despite signs of economic improvement.
