The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to maintain status quo throughout this year, keeping the repurchase rate steady at 6.25 percent in 2017. However, beyond this year, the next move is likely to be a rate hike rather than a cut as the RBI policy committee remains keen to maintain price stability.
Apart from domestic considerations, the RBI will also keep an eye on global developments, especially the direction of US Fed policy. Further compression in the US and Indian long term rates, coupled with US dollar strength could induce volatility in the financial markets. Stability, therefore, will be a priority for the RBI, prompting a status quo stance on rates, DBS Bank reported in its latest research publication.
The central bank surprised on two counts in February. Benchmark rates were left unchanged in contrast to expectations for a cut. The policy stance was also shifted to a neutral bias from accommodative earlier, pulling the brakes on the easing cycle that started in early 2015.
"Under the flexible inflation targeting regime within +/-2 percent of the mid-point of 4.0 percent, the RBI will not be required to hike immediately in case of an overshoot. Nonetheless, the rate bias is tilted more towards hikes than cuts going forward," the report said.


Japan Signals Readiness to Act on Yen as Intervention Speculation Grows
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Signals Policy Overhaul as Hawkish Rate Outlook Rattles Markets
Japan Signals Surprise Yen Intervention Strategy as BOJ Hawkish Stance Puts FX Traders on Alert
Central Banks Eye Gold, Reduce Dollar Exposure as AI Adoption Accelerates: OMFIF Survey
Gold Price Today: Bullion Heads for First Weekly Gain as Weak U.S. Jobs Data Eases Rate Hike Fears
South Korea Signals Possible Interest Rate Hike as Inflation Remains Elevated
U.S. Dollar Drops as Weak Jobs Data Boosts Fed Pause Bets, Yen Jumps on Intervention Talk
Taiwan Central Bank Likely to Keep Interest Rates Unchanged Through 2027
RBA Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 4.35% as Markets Watch AUD/USD and ASX 200
Oil Prices Slip as Oversupply Concerns and U.S.-Iran Talks Shape Market Outlook




