Japan Economy Poised for Q4 2025 Growth as Investment and Consumption Hold Firm 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Jumps as Exports Surge and China Imports Hit Record 
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election 
Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
Australia’s December Trade Surplus Expands but Falls Short of Expectations 
Japanese Pharmaceutical Stocks Slide as TrumpRx.gov Launch Sparks Market Concerns 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Tech Rout Deepens on Amazon Capex Shock 
Singapore Budget 2026 Set for Fiscal Prudence as Growth Remains Resilient 
Oil Prices Slip as U.S.–Iran Talks Ease Supply Disruption Fears 
Asian Markets Slip as AI Spending Fears Shake Tech, Wall Street Futures Rebound 
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks 
Mexico’s finance ministry has revised its 2025 economic growth forecast to between 1.5% and 2.3%, down from the previous 2.0% to 3.0% range, citing persistent supply shocks and declining residential investment. The new forecast, described as “conservative,” contrasts with lower projections from the private sector and the Bank of Mexico, as fears of a looming recession intensify.
Latin America’s second-largest economy contracted in Q4 2024 and again in January, signaling the possibility of a technical recession if Q1 2025 also shows negative growth. A central bank poll revealed private sector analysts now expect just 0.5% growth this year. Meanwhile, the Bank of Mexico forecasts a 2025 GDP range between -0.2% and 1.4%.
The finance ministry attributed the downgrade to continued supply chain disruptions and uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policy, which is dampening business sentiment. Nevertheless, it expects growth to be supported by domestic consumption, job creation, and strategic investments. For 2026, GDP is projected to grow between 1.5% and 2.5%.
President Claudia Sheinbaum, who took office in October amid the nation’s largest budget deficit since the 1980s, faces increasing pressure but has avoided sweeping fiscal reforms. The 2025 budget deficit is estimated between 3.9% and 4.0%, falling to 3.2%-3.5% in 2026.
Inflation is expected to ease to 3.5% by the end of 2025, aligning with the central bank’s target range. By 2026, it’s projected to decline further to 3.0%. The Mexican peso is forecast to close 2025 at 20.0 per U.S. dollar and strengthen slightly to 19.7 in 2026. Crude oil production is expected to average 1.762 million barrels per day in 2025, rising modestly to 1.775 million bpd in 2026.
