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FxWirePro: USD/JPY capped below 50-DMA at 112.81, on track to test 200-DMA, good to go short below 112.15

  • USD/JPY is extending its slide in early Asian trade, hits fresh 7-day low near 112.17.
     
  • The Bank of Japan  in a surprise decision on Tuesday, announced that it cut its purchases of long-term Japanese government bonds by Y10 bn to Y190 bn. 
     
  • That said, the greenback still finds demand amid heightened expectations of another Fed rate hike in March, which could keep downside limited.
     
  • Technically, the pair is trading with a bearish bias. Indicators on daily charts support more downside.
     
  • RSI and Stochs are biased lower, while we see -ve DMI dominance and ADX is also rising, which is supportive on the downtrend.
     
  • The pair is currently holding strong support at 112.18 (Jan 3rd low and 100-DMA), while upside remains capped below 20-DMA at 112.81.
     
  • Next major support lies at 200-DMA at 111.69, while breakout above 50-DMA invalidates bearish bias.


Support levels - 112.18 (nearly converged Jan 3rd low and 100-DMA), 112, 111.69 (200-DMA)

Resistance levels - 112.74 (5-DMA), 112.80 (nearly converge 20 and 50 DMAs), 113

Recommendation: Good to go short on decisive break below 100-DMA, SL: 112.80, TP: 111.90/ 111.70/ 111.40

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