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Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4-hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2033.27
Kijun-Sen- $2028.76
Gold showed a minor pullback after the US PCE data. Both core and headline PCE came in below expectations. The yellow metal hit a high of $2050.97 yesterday at the time of writing and is currently trading around $2046.53.
The number of people who have filed for unemployment benefits rose by 13000 to 215000 in the week ending Feb 24th. Chicago PMI fell to 44 in Feb vs. the Forecast of 48.10.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in Mar increased to 97% from 96% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 103.40/102.70. The near-term resistance is 104.20/105.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bearish (Bullish for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bullish (negative for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2030, a break below targets of $2020/$2010/$2000/$1970/$1956/$1930. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2050 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2060/$2070/$2080/$2100.
It is good to buy on dips around $2015-17 with SL around $2000 for TP of $2065/$2080.
