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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Ichimoku Analysis (4-Hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $1952.76

 

Kijun-Sen- $1960.85

 

Gold prices showed a minor pullback on easing the US dollar. The US dollar index lost momentum after weak US ISM services PMI. It hits an intraday high of $1964.64 and is currently trading around $1959.31.

 

US ISM services PMI came at 50.30 in May, below the estimate of 52.60.

 

 

 US dollar index- Bullish. Minor support around 102.30/101.50. The near-term resistance is 104.40/105.

 

 According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate hike in June increased to  77% from 35.80% a week ago.

 

 The US 10-year yield pared some of its gains on weak economic data. The US 10 and 2-year spread narrowed to -79.40% from -108%.

 

 Factors to watch for gold price action-

 

   Global stock market- bullish (negative for gold)

 

  US dollar index - Bullish  (negative for gold)

 

  US10-year bond yield- Bullish (Bearish for gold)

 

Technical:

 

The near–term support is around $1935, a break below targets of $1920/$1900.The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $1965, and a breach above will take it to the next level of $1980/$2000/$2020/$2040/$2070/$2100/$2150.

 

 It is good to sell on rallies around $1980  with SL around $2000 for TP of $1920/$1900.

 

 

 

 

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