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France faces an escalating political and economic crisis following the collapse of Prime Minister Michel Barnier’s government. President Emmanuel Macron now scrambles to appoint a new leader capable of navigating a fractured parliament and a deepening budgetary impasse. Opposition to Barnier's €60 billion austerity plan, driven by far-right and leftist lawmakers, led to his ousting, intensifying market anxiety.
The bond market has reacted with caution. French 10-year bonds saw their risk premium against Germany’s drop to 77 basis points, but this remains elevated compared to pre-crisis levels. Investors are wary of whether the next prime minister can bridge ideological divides while addressing the country’s 6% budget deficit.
French bank stocks initially rallied on hopes for stability but remain under pressure as uncertainty looms. Notably, far-right leader Marine Le Pen hinted at cooperating to pass emergency budget measures. Still, analysts warn that such promises might falter amid political fragmentation.
Macron’s urgency to install a prime minister highlights the volatility gripping French governance. Markets are watching closely to assess whether the successor will reassure investors or deepen skepticism. Experts predict that if the political stalemate persists, France risks further erosion of investor confidence.
