US Federal Reserve will be meeting on December 15th-16th, to decide on whether to hike rates or not. Market pricing of rate hike has somewhat softened after reaching as high as 84%. However hike expectations over next year for subsequent have firmed somewhat.
Let's look at the market pricing of hikes over next few meetings.
Current FED interest rate is at 0 - 0.25%.
- December, 2015 meeting - Market is attaching 28% probability that rates will remain 0 - 0.25% and 72% probability that rates will move to 0.25-0.5%.
- January, 2016 meeting - Market is attaching 23% probability that rates will remain 0 - 0.25% , 65% probability that rates will move to 0.25-0.5% and 12% probability that rates will be at 0.5-0.75%.
- March, 2016 meeting - Market is attaching 11% probability that rates will remain 0 - 0.25% , 38% probability that rates will move to 0.25-0.5%, 39% probability that rates will be at 0.5-0.75% and 6% probability that rates will be at 0.75-1%
- April, 2016 meeting - Market is attaching 9% probability that rates will remain 0 - 0.25% , 38% probability that rates will move to 0.25-0.5%, 40% probability that rates will be at 0.5-0.75%, 12% probability that rates will be at 0.75-1% and 1% probability that rates will be at 1-1.25%.
- June, 2016 meeting - Market is attaching 6% probability that rates will remain 0 - 0.25% , 28% probability that rates will move to 0.25-0.5%, 39% probability that rates will be at 0.5-0.75%, 21% probability that rates will be at 0.75-1% and 5% probability that rates will be at 1-1.25%.


Bank of England Expected to Hold Interest Rates at 3.75% as Inflation Remains Elevated
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BOJ Holds Interest Rates Steady, Upgrades Growth and Inflation Outlook for Japan
MAS Holds Monetary Policy Steady as Strong Growth Raises Inflation Risks
Jerome Powell Attends Supreme Court Hearing on Trump Effort to Fire Fed Governor, Calling It Historic 



