Ruble came under increased pressure again over last week. USD-RUB, being at 68, previous highs of 2015 as in January, February and August are not far away, which is more than inconvenient for the central bank.
"CBR would like to cut rates again to support the tumbling economy but has to consider the ruble weakness as otherwise inflation might get out of control. So far it has banked on inflation easing notably over the coming months", says Commerzbank.
Given today's CPI data for November is higher, that would not constitute a reason for stronger ruble arguing that this would make it less likely for the rate cuts.
There would be a greater risk then that CBR might lose control about inflation and hence would not be succeeding to create attractive real interest rates in near future, which might cause further weakness in the currency.


BOJ Policymakers Warn Weak Yen Could Fuel Inflation Risks and Delay Rate Action
RBA Raises Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points as Inflation Pressures Persist
China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices
FxWirePro: Daily Commodity Tracker - 21st March, 2022
Why Trump’s new pick for Fed chair hit gold and silver markets – for good reasons
South Africa Eyes ECB Repo Lines as Inflation Eases and Rate Cuts Loom
Fed Confirms Rate Meeting Schedule Despite Severe Winter Storm in Washington D.C.




