FX Hedging Strategy Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: A glimpse on hedge fund positions in USD exposures a fortnight ago, FED and ECB key drivers of currency hedging again

Dec 15, 2016 13:44 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The above performance picture, we get from the monthly reporting hedge funds is quite disappointing than the picture from the daily reporting funds as even currency hedge funds performed poorly in November. As you could...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Euro political season and SNB intervention keep us bearish in EUR/CHF – EURO OTC signals mounting hedging sentiments

Dec 15, 2016 13:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

This write is majorly emphasizes on a bearish EURCHF owing to Euro area politics: This recommendation has been motivated by EUR facing multiple electoral hurdles in 2017 on the one hand, and constraints to SNB FX...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Highest Alpha potential in FX options markets and projections for 2017

Dec 15, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Given that the average investors tradable horizon is no more than 3-6 months, and that the bulk of US-policy driven FX moves are likely to be front-loaded in Q1 with some possibility of a reversal/inflection in H2, this...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: ECB policy shift likely to make EUR deep OTM put underperformer – Uphold vega longs in call calendar spreads

Dec 15, 2016 11:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Euro IV and RV curves are diverging, while risk reversals and underlying spot curves are converged, Fed has delivered with rate hikes as anticipated, ECB shifted its policy and EURUSD breaks its long lasting range bounded...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR gamma ownership unappealing for delta hedgers – longer tenor implieds to encompass major risk events in 2017

Dec 15, 2016 10:40 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

FX vol implications of the ECB decision are murky.By muddying the Euros hitherto clean anti-USD plus political stress narrative for Q1, there is a case to be made that ECBs soft taper potentially crops the extreme left...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Positive shift in USD/JPY risk reversals as Fed does what BoJ wanted

Dec 15, 2016 07:32 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) got its Christmas presents firstly on 8th November and now again on 14th December: since the US Presidential elections the yen has been under pressure against USD. Thanks to Trump. As a result, the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: A year rate hike speculation comes to end, ECB surprises steeper EUR vol curve with soft taper, can Fed also deliver astounding forward guidance?

Dec 14, 2016 13:04 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Steeper EUR vol curve on ECBs soft taper As has become par for the course in recent years, the December ECB meeting surprised by delivering a soft taper that reduced the pace of asset purchases, but forestalled a vicious...