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Announcement: Moody's: China's shadow banking system continues to grow; leverage increases further

Jul 27, 2016 03:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that overall leverage in Chinas (Aa3 negative) economy continues to rise, as credit growth -- measured by total social financing (TSF) -- outpaces nominal GDP. The growth in overall...

FxWirePro: Prefer AUD/JPY vega puts on long leg on 1w ATM IVs - rallies and HY vols likely to bolster PRBS yields

Jul 26, 2016 12:32 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

This pair has dropped below DMAs as selling momentum seems to have been intensified but long-term downtrend remains intact upon the convincing volumes and other technical indicators favouring bears long term...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Short USD/CNY vols via options as tail risk of large CNY devaluation under new CFETS basket regime

Jul 26, 2016 11:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

By the end of 2016, we expect USD/CNY to be testing 7.0 due to a mix of cyclical USD strength as well as domestic factors. FX intervention cannot continue indefinitely. The orderly, low vol depreciation of the RMB has...

FxWirePro: EUR/MXN puts seem attractive compared to USD/MXN puts on historical joint returns in the two pairs

Jul 26, 2016 11:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

MXN has been an outlier in EM this year, having depreciated 7% YTD while the rest of Latin American (ex-ARS) saw record portfolio inflows and FX performances. We still hold a bearish view on MXN, citing current account and...

Moody's Downgrades Alaska to Aa2; Outlook Remains Negative

Jul 25, 2016 23:51 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service has downgraded the State of Alaskas general obligation rating to Aa2 from Aa1. The outlook remains negative. The downgrade recognizes the states political inability - at least for now - to...

FxWirePro: IVs and risk reversals of Yen crosses have steepened, reasonable interpretations as BOJ to shower helicopter money

Jul 25, 2016 13:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We hold short JPY skew risk as valuations are stretched. Short-dated tenors are exposed to BoJ under delivering this week, but longer dates offer consistently rich risk premia to fade. JPY vol risk premia are extreme...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY put writers to capitalize on HY IVs in “Short Put Ladder” ahead of BoJ's monetary policy season

Jul 25, 2016 12:34 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is the central bank most likely to adopt helicopter money policy but not in its traditional sense. We see near term upswings and extreme downside risks that are signalled by risk reversals ahead...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

Tesla Cybertruck Powers Houston Gas Station, Elon Musk Reacts to Saudi Prince’s Photo

A TikTok video showed a Tesla Cybertruck powering a Houston gas station after a tornado, while Elon Musk responded to a photo of a Saudi prince with a Cybertruck. Cybertrucks Real-World Test Connecting to a Tesla...

Shanghai's Data Policy Shift Could Propel Tesla's Local Data Center Efforts

Shanghais new data-export policy could accelerate Teslas plans to build a local data center, enhancing its artificial intelligence (AI) development for autonomous driving. Chinas Regulatory Update As China attempts...

CPI Report Spurs Optimism, BlackRock CIO Forecasts Fixed Income Growth

The release of the U.S. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report provided a wave of relief to the financial markets. This signaled a possible reduction in inflationary pressures. Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer of...

Over 50 Million USDT Blacklisted by Tether Amid Regulatory Scrutiny, Details Inside

Tether has blacklisted five wallets holding 54.1 million USDT, amidst increasing regulatory scrutiny and past enforcement actions. Tether Blacklists Five Wallets Holding 54.1 Million USDT Amid Ongoing Regulatory...

Altcoins Expected to Yield 2x-5x Gains by May End: Fetch.AI, Floki, AAVE, ENA

The latest climb in Bitcoins price beyond $65,000 on Wednesday sparked a new relief rally in the cryptocurrency market. Top altcoins are also profiting from the upward momentum, recovering from recent downturn tendencies....