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FxWirePro: External anomalies engulf around Mexican peso, can these factors stem in extra risk on USD/MXN?

Mar 06, 2017 11:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Following the Fed minutes last week, the low signal-to-noise ratio delivered from Washington, and the latest global cyclical data, we see fewer catalysts that would push LatAm currencies weaker versus the USD over the...

FxWirePro: EMEA EM FX space stretch risk premia, repellant valuations ahead of risk events (Fed and European elections)

Mar 06, 2017 09:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We do not chase the strong price action in higher yielding currenciesand stay neutral on ZAR, TRY and RUB. EM local markets have staged an impressive rally in the past three months. The question for investors is whether or...

Moody's: CEMAC countries increasingly likely to seek IMF program support amid dwindling policy and financing options

Mar 06, 2017 08:32 am UTC| Research & Analysis Economy

Member countries of the Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa (CEMAC) face dwindling financing options as they struggle to adjust to the ongoing impact of lower oil prices and are increasingly likely to turn to...

FxWirePro: AUD/NZD put writers to capitalize on interim upswing, tepid IVs conducive for short legs in “Ratio Reverse Put Spreads”

Mar 06, 2017 07:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Finally sustained the break above the very important 1.0765 area, and now targets 1.0875 (Feb 2016 minor peaks) during the week ahead. The cross remains well below fair value estimates implied by interest rates,...

FxWirePro: Why does Korean Won look so cheaper still? Add hedging package

Mar 03, 2017 12:15 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

KRW still cheap relative to global reflation theme. At face value, we dont believe all of the good news is priced in. The short term fair value model has taken another leg lower and now sits around the 1100 level (refer...

FxWirePro: Hype or reality? Euro vols begin to soar – Uphold EUR/PLN call spreads on modest bearish Polish zloty

Mar 03, 2017 11:54 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Economy

The above diagram explains 1m implied volatility with a forward start of 15 April (i.e. just before the commencement of French presidential elections) for a number of currency pairs. While G7 currency pairs, including...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Swiss Q4 GDP disappoints, retail sales to improve - Swiss franc’s optionality and spot trades

Mar 02, 2017 11:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

OTC Updates: Please be informed that the implied volatilities of EURCHF ATM contracts of all expiries have been the least among G10 currency segment. While, the 25-delta risk of reversal of EURCHF has also not been...

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Economy

Mexico-US Trade Talks Delayed to October as Tariff Negotiations Continue

The fourth round of Mexico-US trade talks is unlikely to take place next week and could be postponed until October as both countries navigate a busy diplomatic schedule, according to a senior Mexican trade official. Luis...

Australia Unemployment Hits Five-Year High Despite Strong Jobs Growth

Australias labour market delivered mixed signals in August as employment growth comfortably exceeded expectations, while the unemployment rate climbed to its highest level in nearly five years amid increased participation...

Asian Stocks Fall as Bond Yields Surge Ahead of Trump-Xi Summit

Asian stocks mostly declined on Thursday as surging global bond yields weighed on risk appetite, while investors awaited a closely watched meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping....

Gold Prices Fall as Treasury Yields Rise on Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices edged lower on Thursday, extending pressure from the previous session as rising Treasury yields, stronger oil prices and a firm U.S. dollar fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve may continue raising...

Asian Currencies Mixed as Dollar Holds Near Two-Month High

Asian currencies traded mixed on Thursday as the U.S. dollar hovered near a two-month high, supported by stronger U.S. economic data, renewed inflation concerns and growing expectations for another Federal Reserve rate...

Politics

OpenAI Agent Breaches Australia Medicare Data Portal

An OpenAI artificial intelligence agent gained unauthorized access to an Australian government Medicare statistics portal, prompting a federal investigation and renewed concerns about the cybersecurity risks posed by...

Taiwan Thanks US for Support Ahead of Trump-Xi Summit

Taiwans government on Thursday expressed gratitude for continued US support and said it remains in close communication with Washington as President Donald Trump prepares to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping in the US...

Netanyahu Takes Aim at Mamdani as Israel Election Nears

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is expected to use his United Nations address on Thursday to criticize New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani, as the Israeli leader faces international pressure and a closely watched...

Russian Missile and Drone Attack on Kyiv Kills Two, Damages Maternity Hospital

Russia launched a major missile and drone attack on Kyiv early Thursday, killing two people and damaging residential buildings, medical facilities and other infrastructure across the Ukrainian capital, according to...

Judge Orders Trump to Restore White House Access for CNN, MS NOW and Politico

A federal judge on Thursday ordered President Donald Trumps administration to temporarily restore White House press access for journalists from CNN, MS NOW and Politico, ruling that the administrations ban on the three...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Tencent Launches TenPayGo Payment App for Foreign Tourists in China

Tencent has launched TenPayGo, a new mobile payment app designed to make digital transactions easier for international travelers visiting China, as the technology giant looks to benefit from growing inbound tourism ahead...

China’s ‘Lipstick King’ Says AI Won’t Replace Livestream Hosts

Chinas livestream shopping industry is entering a slower phase, but Li Jiaqi, the influential presenter known as the Lipstick King, believes artificial intelligence will complement rather than replace human hosts. Li, who...

Meta Unveils Muse Charm AI Device, Expands Smart Glasses Lineup

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) unveiled a palm-sized device designed specifically for its Muse artificial intelligence agent on Wednesday, alongside an expanded lineup of smart glasses and new AI capabilities. CEO Mark...

SoftBank Raises $11.1 Billion in Bond Sale to Fund OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group has raised $11.1 billion through a major dollar- and euro-denominated bond offering as the Japanese technology investment giant builds up cash to finance its expanding artificial intelligence investments,...

Meta Connect Spotlights Camera-Free Smart Glasses Amid Privacy Concerns

Meta Platforms opened its annual Connect conference on Wednesday, with the technology giant expected to introduce new smart glasses as it seeks to expand its lead in AI-powered wearable devices while addressing mounting...