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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What does robust dollar mean for US EXIM? Long term OTC hedging arrangement remains intact

Jan 06, 2017 07:32 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

The U.S. currency has surged since the election, partly in anticipation of fiscal policies under the incoming Trump administration. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which measures the greenback against 10 global...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Stay firm and relish advantage of EUR to parity, high correlation, and low IVs in EUR/USD/SGD via one-touch knock-in

Jan 05, 2017 12:20 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The strategy: Weve already advocated this strategy in ourearlier post. Stay firm or initiate longs in USDSGD 3m one-touch knock-in 1.4950 on below strong grounds of fundamental attributes that are explained below,...

FxWirePro: Hedge via 3-way diagonal straddles versus OTM put to sync with USD/CAD bullish neutral risk reversals, IV skews, and trend

Jan 05, 2017 12:03 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

OTC outlook: As you could observe the risk reversal flashes across all tenors, although we see neutral changes to the bullish risk sentiments, as a result, CAD seems to be gaining in next 2 months tenor on recent OPECs...

FxWirePro: Major fundamental drivers to initiate/uphold USD/TWD 3m NDFs

Jan 05, 2017 09:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Economy

Weve already advocated initiating or those who hold longs stay firm with conviction in USDTWD 3m NDFs. Below are the weblinks for our recent write up on USDTWD...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Diagonal straps versus OTM put to hedge AUD/JPY amid quite data flow except Aussie trade balance and retail sales

Jan 05, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

TheAustralian federal governments mid-year fiscal updateis expected to show a deteriorating deficit as broad economic weakness offsets commodity price gains. Markets will be watching for any rating agency reactions. The...

FxWirePro: Chinese offshore currency heads for 4-weeks highs after PBoC into rescue CNH but unwise to be trapped in panicky selling baskets, major uptrend intact

Jan 04, 2017 13:05 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Please be noted that USDCNH has plummeted its prices considerably today and heading towards to retest 4 weeks lows at 6.8928. Technically, shooting star doji patterns are traced out at 6.9620 and 6.9717 levels...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Is there a way to deal with 1m negatively skewed AUD/USD IVs? Use premium-adjusted deltas to construct implied volatility smiles

Jan 04, 2017 12:30 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

Before we begin with this write-up, please be informed that 1m AUDUSD ATM puts are flashing deltas around -0.50. AUDUSD has been tumbling considerably of late, dropped from the highs of 0.7778 to the current 0.7159...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Why is the London Stock Exchange losing out to the US

London Stock Exchange (LSE), which can trace its heritage to the coffee houses of the 17th century, is failing. The volume of shares traded is sharply declining, and some UK companies are swiftly moving to the US...

Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back

One year ago, Germany took its last three nuclear power stations offline. When it comes to energy, few events have baffled outsiders more. In the face of climate change, calls to expedite the transition away from fossil...

Politics

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Joe Biden Proposes Record 44.6% Capital Gains Tax in Latest Budget Plan That May Favor Cryptocurrencies

President Joe Biden has proposed raising the capital gains tax to an unprecedented 44.6% in a bold fiscal move, targeting the wealthiest Americans. This hike is part of his 2025 budget proposal to reduce income...

Turkey’s suppression of the Kurdish political movement continues to fuel a deadly armed conflict

The world has 91 democracies and 88 autocracies. Yet 71% of the worlds population (some 5.7 billion people) are living under autocratic rule, a big jump from 48% ten years ago. This trend towards authoritarianism can...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Musk Engages China: Baidu’s Data Deal and High-Stakes Hotel Meet with CATL

Tesla CEO Elon Musk is making headlines with a double play in China: securing critical navigation data from Baidu and engaging in strategic talks with CATL. These moves underline Teslas push to lead in global tech and...

Elon Musk Injects $10 Billion Into Tesla AI, Eyes Autonomous Robotaxi

Elon Musk has declared a monumental $10 billion investment in Teslas artificial intelligence, setting the stage for advanced autonomous driving and a potential Robotaxi service. Tesla to Invest $10 Billion in AI for...

OpenAI and Worldcoin Eye Strategic Partnership Amid Regulatory Gaze

Amid escalating regulatory scrutiny, OpenAI, led by Sam Altman, is reportedly discussing a potential partnership with Worldcoin, another venture Altman co-founded. As detailed by Bloomberg, these talks could lead to...

Traders Forecast Best Altseason Since 2017 as Bitcoin Momentum Cools

As Bitcoin stabilizes above $64,000, traders forecast a burgeoning altcoin market that may mirror the explosive growth last seen in 2017. Bitcoin Rebounds Over Weekend, Traders Anticipate Potential Altcoin...
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