Fed Governor Lisa Cook Warns Inflation Risks Remain as Rates Stay Steady 
Gold Prices Slide Below $5,000 as Strong Dollar and Central Bank Outlook Weigh on Metals 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Japanese Pharmaceutical Stocks Slide as TrumpRx.gov Launch Sparks Market Concerns 
Dow Hits 50,000 as U.S. Stocks Stage Strong Rebound Amid AI Volatility 
Thailand Inflation Remains Negative for 10th Straight Month in January 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
Dollar Steadies Ahead of ECB and BoE Decisions as Markets Turn Risk-Off 
Asian Stocks Slip as Tech Rout Deepens, Japan Steadies Ahead of Election 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
Japan Economy Poised for Q4 2025 Growth as Investment and Consumption Hold Firm 
Dollar Near Two-Week High as Stock Rout, AI Concerns and Global Events Drive Market Volatility 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
South Africa Eyes ECB Repo Lines as Inflation Eases and Rate Cuts Loom 
India–U.S. Interim Trade Pact Cuts Auto Tariffs but Leaves Tesla Out 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
Trump’s Inflation Claims Clash With Voters’ Cost-of-Living Reality 
S&P 500 Positioning at Three-Year High: Market Risks and Global Trends
Positioning in the S&P 500 has reached a three-year high, according to Citi strategists. This extended positioning contrasts with other global markets, where investor conviction remains comparatively low. Historically, when positioning reaches these levels, the S&P 500 often experiences pullbacks of over 10% within two to three months.
Increased Positioning Risks
While Citi does not advise reducing exposure, they emphasize that heightened positioning could pose risks. In the past, profit-taking followed stretched profit and loss (P&L) situations, leading to market corrections. However, current P&L levels are positive but not overly stretched, meaning less capital is at risk, potentially reducing the likelihood of significant sell-offs.
European Markets Show Mixed Sentiment
In Europe, the overall sentiment remains positive, with Euro Stoxx 50 short positions decreasing. European banks, in particular, continue to attract long positions. In contrast, China's market reactions to recent stimulus measures have slowed, with positioning on the FTSE China A50 now neutral and the Hang Seng turning more net long.
Volatility in Chinese Markets
Citi strategists expect further volatility in Chinese markets as more stimulus measures are anticipated. Recent reductions in loan prime rates (LPRs) are likely to impact market positioning, with investors closely monitoring fiscal policy announcements expected later this year.
Asian Markets Remain Neutral
Meanwhile, no significant changes have been observed in the Nikkei and KOSPI 200, both remaining neutral. The S&P/ASX 200 has surged nearly 10% since August, driven by new long positions added last week.
