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Maldives Shifts Debt Management Strategy Amid Concerns of Default
The Maldives has decided to "phase out" its engagement with U.S. firm Centerview Partners regarding debt matters, focusing instead on managing debt repayments through direct negotiations with key partners like India and China, according to Deputy Finance Minister Hassan Miras.
Concerns have arisen over the nation’s dwindling foreign currency reserves, leading to fears that the Maldives could be the first country to default on Islamic sovereign debt. A significant $500 million sukuk is set to mature in 2026. Miras stated that while Centerview was initially engaged to analyze the debt portfolio, the government is now concentrating on bilateral debt management.
Positive responses from bilateral partners have been noted, particularly with China, which has approved refinancing for previous debts. Additionally, the Maldives is in discussions with multilateral partners to secure further funding. These initiatives will feature appropriate fiscal adjustments in the upcoming budget, scheduled for release in November.
The World Bank reports that the Maldives' total public and publicly guaranteed debt reached $8.2 billion, constituting 116% of its GDP in the first quarter of this year. External debt is a significant concern, with substantial amounts owed to China and India.
Recent financial cooperation agreements with Beijing and India's subscription to a $50 million Treasury bill, along with approved currency swap deals exceeding $750 million, are steps toward alleviating investor concerns. However, Fitch Ratings warns that without significant policy changes, the nation may continue to face medium-term economic pressures due to its high debt levels and low foreign reserves.
