The current spot FX is trading at 132.740, our earlier targets achieved at 133.372, for now we expect dips extending up to 131.025 levels in near terms.
It is understood that bearish momentum is bolstering as we saw that from delta risk reversal table. Hence, aggressive bears can initiate strategy using ATM puts adding to any shorts ITM puts.
Please observe in the above nutshell how delta risk reversal numbers are inching higher into negative values gradually in a long run (flashing at negative 1.65 for 1 year expiries). And also 1W at the money 49.6% delta puts are trading 17.75% higher than NPV.
The broader the strike difference between short and long puts, the fewer puts you need to sell to cover the price of the long puts.
But at the same time, the coverage of long-to-short is going to be more difficult in the event of assignment.
So, the recommendation for aggressive bears is to add an extra long on put with 1m expiry to the existing debit put spreads and fresh backspreads can built in capitalizing on overpriced ATM puts on short side with 1w expiries.
Since the option you sell will always be lower on the skew curve it means you are getting a better deal on what you are selling compared to what you are buying.
It makes this strategy a good one if the skew is running a little hot but EURJPY hasn't rolled over that much.
However, on a long term hedging perspective, debit put spreads are advocated as the selling indications are piling up on weekly graph. So buying In-The-Money Puts and to reduce the cost of hedging by financing this long position, selling an Out-Of-The-Money put option is recommended.


USD/CHF Bulls Eye 0.8400 Breakout as Broad Dollar Demand Drives 100-Pip Surge
FxWirePro: USD/CAD extends advance as falling oil prices pressures commodity-linked loonie
FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD firms slightly, but outlook remains bearish
FxWirePro: EUR/AUD retreat from early gains, eyes another drop
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD firms slightly, but downward resumption looks likely
FxWirePro: USD/JPY loses momentum but outlook is bullish
FxWirePro: GBP/AUD struggle to extend its recovery, good to sell on rally
FxWirePro: AUD/USD pressured by rising treasury yields, risk-off mood
Extremely Bearish JPY Majors: GBPJPY, NZDJPY, AUDJPY Lead the Decline
AUDJPY Tumbles Below 111 on Widespread Australian Dollar Weakness; Key Resistance at 112 Holds Firm
FxWirePro- Major Pair levels and bias summary
Fade the Rally: EUR/JPY Short Opportunity Near 180.80
NZDJPY Plunges Below 90 Amidst Broad New Zealand Dollar Weakness; Resistance at 90.80 Key for Downside Continuation
FxWirePro: NZD/USD remains soft as US bond bloodbath dominates
FxWirePro: USD/CAD hits two month high as Canadian as retail sales post monthly decline
FxWirePro: GBP/NZD sustains gains as uptrend remains strong




