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FxWirePro- Gold Daily Outlook

Gold -

 

Ichimoku Analysis (4 Hour chart)

 

Tenken-Sen- $2165.30

 

Kijun-Sen- $2172.93

 

Gold showed a minor pullback ahead of US economic data. US retail sales are expected to improve to 0.80% m/m from -0.80% m/m the previous month. Retail sales, excluding autos are anticipated to surge to 0.50% MoM in Feb from -0.60% Jan.  Any strong PPI will put pressure on gold at higher levels. The yellow metal hit a low of  $2179 yesterday and is currently trading around $2158.32.

 

According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in  Mar decreased to 99% from 96% a week ago.

 

 

 US dollar index-  Bearish. Minor support around 102.30/101.40. The near-term resistance is 103.20/104.

  

 Factors to watch for gold price action-

     

   Global stock market- Bullish  (negative for gold)

 

  US dollar index - Bearish (Bullish  for gold)

 

  US10-year bond yield- Bullish (negative for gold)

 

Technical:

 

The near–term support is around $2150, a break below targets of $2145/$2120/$2100. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2200 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2225/$2250.

 

 It is good to sell on rallies around $2168-70 with SL around $2200 for TP of $2100.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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