2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch 
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift? 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure 
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms 
Urban studies: Doing research when every city is different 
S&P 500 Relies on Tech for Growth in Q4 2024, Says Barclays 
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
Gold Prices Slide as Rate Cut Prospects Diminish; Copper Gains on China Stimulus Hopes 
Fed May Resume Rate Hikes: BofA Analysts Outline Key Scenarios 
US Futures Rise as Investors Eye Earnings, Inflation Data, and Wildfire Impacts 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge 
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis 
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 
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US Dollar Index
- Current Status: The US dollar index pared its gains despite strong US inflation data. It hit a low of 104.95 yesterday and is currently trading around 104.97.
- Recent Economic Data:
- US PPI: Rose 0.50% m/m in April, above the estimate of 0.30%.
- Annual Producer Price Index: Increased by 2.2% over the last year, the highest PPI reading since April 2023.
- Core PPI: Excluding food and energy costs, also rose by 0.50% vs. an estimate of 0.20%.
- CME Fed Watch Tool: The probability of a no-rate cut in June increased to 96.7% from 91.3% a week ago.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 105.60 / 106.50
- Support: 104.50 / 103.80
Major Economic Data for the Week
- May 15th, 2024:
- US CPI and Retail Sales (12:30 pm GMT)
- Euro Flash GDP (9 am GMT)
EUR/USD
- Current Status: EUR/USD gained momentum after upbeat German ZEW sentiment. It hit a high of 1.08278 and is currently trading around 1.08234.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 1.08650 / 1.0900
- Support: 1.0760 / 1.0700
USD/JPY
- Current Status: The pair consolidated in a narrow range ahead of the US CPI data. Any break above 157 confirms further bullishness.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 157 / 158
- Support: 155 / 153.40
USD/CAD
- Current Status: The Canadian dollar trades higher despite weak crude oil prices. Any break below 1.3600 confirms further bearishness.
- Technical Levels:
- Resistance: 1.3700 / 1.3765
- Support: 1.3600 / 1.3535
