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FxWirePro: EUR/JPY extends weakness below 50-DMA, bias lower, stay short

  • EUR/JPY extends grind lower after break below strong support at 50-DMA, bias remains bearish.
     
  • Comments from the Chinese President Xi, who talked up the prospects of boosting the country’s trade and imports with the US triggered risk-off moods, lifting the safe-haven Yen.
     
  • Price action rages within daily cloud, cloud base at 130.98 is immediate support.
     
  • We note Bearish divergence on RSI and Stochs which keeps scope for further downside on break below cloud.
     
  • Technical indicators are also bearish, RSI and Stochs are biased lower, MACD supports trend lower.
     
  • Break below daily cloud finds next major support at 129.79 (23.6% Fib retrace of 114.85 to 134.409 rally).

Support levels - 130.98 (cloud base), 130.82 (100-DMA), 130.60 (Sept 16 low), 130, 129.79 (23.6% Fib retrace of 114.85 to 134.409 rally)

Resistance levels - 132 (5-DMA), 132.30 (50-DMA), 132.64 (20-DMA), 133

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-EUR-JPY-fails-to-hold-above-133-handle-bearish-divergence-keeps-scope-for-downside-989681) has hit TP1/2

Recommendation: Book partial profits at lows. Trail stop loss to 132.30, hold for 131/ 130.80/ 130.60.

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at -78.5802 (Bearish), while Hourly JPY Spot Index was at 119.513 (Bullish) at 0930 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex.

FxWirePro launches Absolute Return Managed Program. For more details, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/invest

 

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November 24 15:30 UTC Released

USECRI Weekly Index*

Actual

145.6 %

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145.6 %

November 24 14:45 UTC Released

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Actual

54.6 %

Forecast

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54.6 %

November 27 09:00 UTC 27532753m

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111 %

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116.1 %

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-1.886 Bln USD

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-1.559 Bln USD

November 27 15:30 UTC 31433143m

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27.6

November 27 21:00 UTC 34733473m

KRBOK Manufacturing BSI*

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87 Bln BRL

November 28 00:00 UTC 36533653m

BRCentral Govt Balance

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-22.725 Bln BRL

November 28 07:00 UTC 40734073m

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10.7 %

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