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FxWirePro: EUR/AUD on track to test 50-DMA at 1.4094, stay long

  • EUR/AUD is trading a narrow range in the Asian session, made a day's high at 1.4011 and low of 1.3961.
     
  • Robust Australia retail sales data released earlier today likely supporting the Aussie.
     
  • Australia’s January retail sales m/m increased to 0.4 % (forecast 0.4 %) vs previous -0.1 %.
     
  • The pair has shown a decisive breakout above major trendline resistance at 1.3880.
     
  • Bullish RSI divergence and positively bias on other technical indicators support upside in the pair.
     
  • We see scope for test of 50-DMA at 1.4094. Bullish invalidation only below 1.3875 (5-DMA).

Support levels - 1.3884 (23.6% Fib retrace of 1.4719 to 1.3626 fall), 1.3874 (5-DMA), 1.3840 (20-DMA)

Resistance levels - 1.4044 (38.2% Fib),1.4094 (50-DMA), 1.4173 (50% Fib)

TIME  TREND INDEX  OB/OS INDEX    

1H          Bearish               Neutral        
4H          Bullish                Rolled over from o/b       
1D          Bullish                Neutral        
1W         Bearish               Neutral  

Call update: Our previous call (http://www.econotimes.com/FxWirePro-EUR-AUD-breaks-major-trendline-resistance-at-13860-good-to-go-long-on-dips-571460) has hit TP1&2.

Recommendation: Book partial profits at highs, raise trailing stops to 1.3875, stay long for 1.4040/ 1.4094. 

FxWirePro Currency Strength Index: FxWirePro's Hourly EUR Spot Index was at 105.016(Highly bullish), while Hourly AUD Spot Index was at -31.3834 (Neutral) at 0650 GMT. For more details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex

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