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EUR/USD Defies ECB Rate Hike to Reclaim 1.1600: Technical Setup Points to Buy-on-Dips Opportunity

EURUSD gained above 1.1600 despite a rate hike by the ECB.  The pair hit an intraday low of 1.15923 and is currently trading around 1.16172.

Resuming its tightening of monetary policy following a halt in July, the European Central Bank (ECB) increased its major interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 10, 2026 meeting—bringing the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.50% and the Main Refinancing Operations Rate to 2.65%. This change in policy is in line with Eurozone headline inflation rising to 3.3% in August as a result of rising world energy costs, far beyond the central bank's 2% goal. Along with revised economic predictions reflecting continuous inflationary pressures and development concerns, markets wait ECB President Christine Lagarde's press conference for hints on staff estimates and future interest rate path.

 

Technicals

CMP -1.16172

Trend

4-hour chart

Value

 

 

55 EMA

1.16304

CMP<value

Bearish

200- EMA

1.16230

CMP<value

Bearish

365- EMA

1.16153

CMP>value

Bullish

800-EMA

1.15826

CMP>value

Bullish

 

Major support- 1.15600/1.1500/1.4700/1.1430. Near-term resistance-11.1660/1.1700.

 

Momentum indicator

Inference

Value

CCI(50)

Bearish

-253

ADX

Neutral

Strength increased from 13.17 to 17.87

It is good to buy on dips around  1.1610-110  with SL around 1.15668  for a TP of 1.1700/1.1765.

 

 

 

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