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Analyst Deems $50K Bitcoin Drop Unlikely Amid Rising Support Levels

Dylan LeClair presents analysis on Bitcoin's enduring price stability and future prospects.

In a recent analysis, crypto analyst Dylan LeClair posits that Bitcoin's price will unlikely fall below $50,000 soon, citing strengthened support levels and market dynamics.

LeClair of UTXO Management highlights the potential for significant liquidations should prices swing yet see a stable trajectory above this threshold despite potential fluctuations. This insight comes amid Bitcoin's consistent performance above $50,000 since late February and speculative anticipation of its response to the upcoming halving event, which is expected to further influence its valuation.

Bitcoin's Sturdy Support Levels Signal Unlikely Drop Below $50K, Analyst Explains

According to a crypto analyst, the frequency with which Bitcoin reaches higher support price levels and the "lack of immediate froth" in the derivatives markets indicate that its price is unlikely to fall below $50,000 anytime soon, per Cointelegraph.

Dylan LeClair, senior analyst at digital asset fund UTXO Management, stated in an analyst note on April 7 that if Bitcoin returns to the $70,000-$75,000 price range, short positions will face significant pressure.

"As we've consolidated, an increasing amount of short liquidations are building from 70-75k," he stated.

If Bitcoin's price rises to $70,000, CoinGlass estimates that approximately $174.17 million will be liquidated.

If it reaches the upper limit of LeClair's range ($75,000), approximately $830 million in short positions would be liquidated.

This represents a 7.8% increase over Bitcoin's current price of $69,344. Similarly, on March 15, there was a 7.5% percentage change, but it was downward, resulting in $525.2 million in liquidations.

LeClair explained that a drop in Bitcoin's price to $50,000 — a 27% decrease from its current price at the time of writing—could result in significant liquidation of long positions. However, he does not expect it, given recent price shifts and rising support levels.

"While there is a large cluster of longs that could be taken out at ~50k, given the structure of higher lows and the lack of immediate froth in the derivatives landscape currently, I find it pretty unlikely we revisit that level," he stated.

"Not impossible of course," he warned. Bitcoin's price last dipped below $50,000 on February 13, hitting $49,725.

Bitcoin's Price Surge and Halving Event: Analysts Forecast Bright Future Amid Major Wall Street Involvement

Just a day before, on February 12, it reached $50,000, a level that has not been seen since December 2021.

He backed up his claims with the recent action of global asset manager BlackRock, which updated its Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) prospectus on April 5 and added five major Wall Street firms as new authorized participants.

New members include ABN AMRO Clearing, Citadel Securities, Citigroup Global Markets, Goldman Sachs, and UBS Securities.

Prominent cryptocurrency traders are speculating on Bitcoin's price ahead of the halving event on April 20. This event occurs every four years and reduces miner block rewards by 50%, from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin's price has risen by approximately 658% since the last halving of 2020. If historical chart patterns continue, Bitcoin's price will reach $434,280 per coin by 2028, halving if it performs similarly to the current cycle.

Rekt Capital, a cryptocurrency trader, believes there is significant potential for additional upward movement in the short term. In an April 7 post to his 443,000 followers, he stated that the market is roughly one-third of its "bull market" phase.

Photo: Microsoft Bing

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