Market Roundup
•German Aug Industrial Production (MoM) 0.2%, 1.5% forecast, 1.2% previous
•French Sep Reserve Assets Total 196,141.0M, 198,158.0M previous
•French Aug Trade Balance -7.7B, -7.0B previous
•French Aug Imports 43.1B, 42.5B previous
•French Aug Current Account -4.70B,-6.20B previous
•French Aug Exports 35.4B, 35.5B previous
•UK Halifax House Price Index (YoY) 7.3%,5.2% previous
•UK Sep Halifax House Price Index (MoM) 1.6%,1.5% forecast, 1.6% previous
•Italian Aug Retail Sales (YoY) 0.8%,-7.2% previous
•Italian Aug Retail Sales (MoM) 8.2%,-2.2% previous
•US MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate 3.01%,3.05% previous
•US MBA Mortgage Applications (WoW) 4.6%,-4.8% previous
•US MBA Purchase Index 316.0, 320.9 previous
•US Mortgage Market Index 804.7, 769.6 previous
Looking Ahead - Economic Data (GMT)
•13:00 Brazil Auto Sales (MoM) 5.1% previous
•13:00 Brazil Auto Production (MoM) 23.6% previous
•13:30 Seevol Cushing Storage Report 1.177M previous
•14:00 Canada Sep Ivey PMI n.s.a 64.6 previous
•14:00 Canada Sep Ivey PMI 67.8 previous
Looking Ahead - Events, Other Releases (GMT)
•14:00 US FOMC Member Barkin Speaks
Fxbeat
EUR/USD: The euro strengthened against dollar on Wednesday as uncertainty around the U.S. presidential election after President Donald Trump’s COVID-19 diagnosis. The U.S. president, who is being treated for COVID-19, called off negotiations on Tuesday over the aid package that was meant to stimulate the economy, until after the Nov. 3 election.The announcement stoked risk aversion, while bolstering euro. Investors would now watch out for minutes from U.S. Federal Reserve’s Sept. 15-16 policy meeting and vice presidential debate due later in the day. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.1768 (55DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.1800 (50%fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.1722 (38.2% fib ), a break below could take the pair towards 1.1693(Daily low).
GBP/USD: The British pound inched higher against dollar on Wednesday, lifted by broad-based dollar weakness and rising hopes of a trade deal with the European Union. Optimism that Britain and the EU could reach an agreement on their future trade relationships has been growing this week, with most analysts expecting the two parts to reach at least a “skinny” deal before the Brexit transition ends in December. Sterling was up 0.5% in early trade at $1.2929 against the dollar, before giving up some of those gains to trade 0.04 % higher at $1.2871 by 1200 GMT. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.2900 (20DMA), an upside break can trigger rise towards 1.2955 (38.2% fib).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.2828 (38.2%fib), a break below could take the pair towards 1.2794 (5DMA).
USD/CHF: The dollar dipped against Swiss franc on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump abruptly cancelled talks on economic stimulus with Democrat lawmakers, heightening demand for safe-haven Swiss franc. Traders will look to minutes from the Fed’s most recent meeting and comments from several Fed speakers later Wednesday for further signs of how central bankers view the outlook. Immediate resistance can be seen at 0.9201 (38.2%fib), an upside break can trigger rise towards 0.9210 (11DMA).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 0.9149 (38.2% fib), a break below could take the pair towards 0.9100(Oct 6th low).
USD/JPY: The dollar rose against the Japanese yen on Wednesday as initial dismay at U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to cancel fiscal stimulus negotiations with lawmakers in Washington was replaced by optimism about an aid package after the U.S. elections. Trump broke off talks with Democrats in a tweet, saying that negotiations will stop until after the Nov. 3 election, when he promised a major stimulus bill if he wins.The news quickly rattled Wall Street but Asian investors became less concerned overnight on the grounds that whoever wins the election will still introduce a fiscal stimulus bill. Strong resistance can be seen at 106.13 (Daily high), an upside break can trigger rise towards 105.36 (Higher BB).On the downside, immediate support is seen at 105.83 ( 38.2% fib ), a break below could take the pair towards 105.54 (11 DMA).
Equities Recap
European stocks hovered near a two-week high on Wednesday as upbeat earnings reports from UK’s Tesco and Germany’s Dialog Semiconductor helped offset uncertainties surrounding a fresh U.S. stimulus package.
At (GMT 13:00 ),UK's benchmark FTSE 100 was last trading up at 0.02 percent, Germany's Dax was down by 0.47 percent, France’s CAC was last down by 0.28 percent.
Commodities Recap
Gold rebounded on Wednesday as worries about a halt in U.S. coronavirus stimulus talks faded, bolstering bullion’s appeal as a hedge against inflation and prompting investors to cover short positions after a near 2% decline in the last session.
Spot gold rose 0.5% to $1,886.16 per ounce at 1142 GMT. U.S. gold futures fell 1% to $1,889.60.
Oil prices fell on Wednesday after U.S. President Donald Trump dashed hopes for a fourth stimulus package to boost the coronavirus-hit economy and on a larger-than-expected increase in U.S. crude inventories.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures declined 42 cents, or 1%, to $40.25 a barrel by 0648 GMT while Brent crude futures fell 30 cents, or 0.7%, to $42.35 a barrel.
