Fed’s Dovish Tone Sends Dollar Lower as Markets Price In More Rate Cuts 
Gold Prices Dip as Markets Absorb Dovish Fed Outlook; Silver Eases After Record High 
Asian Currencies Steady as Fed Delivers Hawkish Rate Cut; Aussie and Rupee Under Pressure 
Indonesia–U.S. Tariff Talks Near Completion as Both Sides Push for Year-End Deal 
Ireland Limits Planned Trade Ban on Israeli Settlements to Goods Only 
Oil Prices Rebound in Asia as Venezuela Sanctions Risks Offset Ukraine Peace Hopes 
Gold Prices Slip Slightly in Asia as Silver Nears Record Highs on Dovish Fed Outlook 
BOJ Expected to Deliver December Rate Hike as Economists See Borrowing Costs Rising Through 2025 
Global Markets Slide as Tech Stocks Sink, Yields Rise, and AI Concerns Deepen 
Australia’s Labour Market Weakens as November Employment Drops Sharply 
Asian Stocks Rally as Tech Rebounds, China Lags on Nvidia Competition Concerns 
U.S. Dollar Slides for Third Straight Week as Rate Cut Expectations Boost Euro and Pound 
South Korea Extends Bond Market Stabilization Measures Amid Rising Financial Risks 
Wall Street Futures Dip as Broadcom Slides, Tech Weighed Down Despite Dovish Fed Signals 
Fed Near Neutral Signals Caution Ahead, Shifting Focus to Fixed Income in 2026 
Oil Prices Edge Higher as U.S. Seizes Sanctioned Venezuelan Tanker 
Asian Stocks Slip as Oracle Earnings Miss Sparks AI Profitability Concerns 
The probability of a U.S. recession this year has climbed to 40%, according to Bruce Kasman, J.P. Morgan’s chief global economist. Speaking in Singapore, Kasman expressed growing concerns over economic instability, marking an increase from his initial 30% projection earlier this year.
Kasman warned that recession risks could exceed 50% if former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs take effect in April. He stressed that continued policy disruptions and business-unfriendly measures could further weaken economic stability.
Despite maintaining a 2% GDP growth forecast for 2025, J.P. Morgan acknowledges mounting risks. U.S. stock markets recently suffered their steepest decline in months, fueled by investor fears that import tariffs could slow economic expansion. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have already downgraded their U.S. GDP growth projections to 1.7% and 1.5%, respectively.
Kasman also cautioned that ongoing political and economic uncertainty could erode investor confidence in U.S. markets. He emphasized that trust in market regulations, transparent information flow, and government stability are crucial for economic resilience.
As concerns over tariffs and economic policies intensify, investors are closely watching for shifts that could further impact financial markets.
