China Extends Gold Buying Streak as Reserves Surge Despite Volatile Prices 
RBI Holds Repo Rate at 5.25% as India’s Growth Outlook Strengthens After U.S. Trade Deal 
Silver Prices Plunge in Asian Trade as Dollar Strength Triggers Fresh Precious Metals Sell-Off 
Oil Prices Slide on US-Iran Talks, Dollar Strength and Profit-Taking Pressure 
U.S.-India Trade Framework Signals Major Shift in Tariffs, Energy, and Supply Chains 
Bank of Japan Signals Readiness for Near-Term Rate Hike as Inflation Nears Target 
Gold and Silver Prices Rebound After Volatile Week Triggered by Fed Nomination 
Global Markets Slide as AI, Crypto, and Precious Metals Face Heightened Volatility 
Vietnam’s Trade Surplus With US Jumps as Exports Surge and China Imports Hit Record 
Asian Markets Slip as AI Spending Fears Shake Tech, Wall Street Futures Rebound 
Trump Signs Executive Order Threatening 25% Tariffs on Countries Trading With Iran 
South Korea’s Weak Won Struggles as Retail Investors Pour Money Into U.S. Stocks 
Trump Lifts 25% Tariff on Indian Goods in Strategic U.S.–India Trade and Energy Deal 
U.S. Stock Futures Slide as Tech Rout Deepens on Amazon Capex Shock 
Australia’s December Trade Surplus Expands but Falls Short of Expectations 
South Korea Assures U.S. on Trade Deal Commitments Amid Tariff Concerns 
The probability of a U.S. recession this year has climbed to 40%, according to Bruce Kasman, J.P. Morgan’s chief global economist. Speaking in Singapore, Kasman expressed growing concerns over economic instability, marking an increase from his initial 30% projection earlier this year.
Kasman warned that recession risks could exceed 50% if former President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs take effect in April. He stressed that continued policy disruptions and business-unfriendly measures could further weaken economic stability.
Despite maintaining a 2% GDP growth forecast for 2025, J.P. Morgan acknowledges mounting risks. U.S. stock markets recently suffered their steepest decline in months, fueled by investor fears that import tariffs could slow economic expansion. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have already downgraded their U.S. GDP growth projections to 1.7% and 1.5%, respectively.
Kasman also cautioned that ongoing political and economic uncertainty could erode investor confidence in U.S. markets. He emphasized that trust in market regulations, transparent information flow, and government stability are crucial for economic resilience.
As concerns over tariffs and economic policies intensify, investors are closely watching for shifts that could further impact financial markets.
