"China might be mis-reporting its actual growth"....."Chinese growth could be far weaker"....."Data indicating much greater weakness in China"...These have been the lines of concern among analysts including us at FxWirePro. However, when this question is posed what is China's actual growth, it seems many men (+women), many minds.
- According To latest from Bloomberg business, China could be growing something around 6.5% according to Bloomberg Intelligence economics, Barclays is way more pessimistic, predicting growth to be just above 5%. Lombard Street Research thinks is to be just around 3%, while Li Keqiang index calling it to be just about 2.8%.
Compared all these above estimates, official growth figure stands at 6.9%, highest of the lot.
So how much it actually matters?
Not much. Say if there has been a mis-reporting of the GDP figure, it doesn't seem to be a mistake, given Chinese authorities revised last year's growth to be 7.4%. Calculation can be wrong one time...yes but for a revised figure and for a government...doesn't seem likely at all.
So that brings us to the conspiracy theory...
China deliberately reporting a higher figure...if that is the case.....it is unlikely to change in the near term. Admitting to any conspiracy would lead to loss of credibility.
Similar can be said for different calculations method.
So what does matter?
What happens from here?
A hard landing....continued deterioration...stabilization...or recovery.
Concentrating too much on what could be the actual slowdown might lead to missing of the actual recovery in world's second largest economy.


China Vanke Hit with Fresh S&P Downgrade as Debt Concerns Intensify
Ethereum Bulls Reload: $175M ETF Inflows + Super-Whale Grabs $54M ETH as Price Coils for the Next Big Move
Bitcoin Smashes $93K as Institutions Pile In – $100K Next?
Gold’s Best Friend Is Back: Falling Yields Reload the $4,300 Bull Case
EUR/USD Smashes 1.1660 as ADP Jobs Massacre Crushes the Dollar
India’s IT Sector Faces Sharp 2025 Valuation Reset as Mid-Caps Outshine Large Players
U.S. Productivity Growth Widens Lead Over Other Advanced Economies, Says Goldman Sachs
U.S. Black Friday Online Spending Surges to $8.6 Billion, Boosted by Mobile Shoppers




