Moody's Investors Service says that rapid price growth of residential homes in Chinese cities -- and particularly in higher-tier ones -- could attract further regulatory tightening to moderate price growth.
"Residential home prices for China's 70 major cities extended their rising trend in April 2016. First-tier cities continued to see strong price growth, although the upward momentum on a month-on-month basis is moderating, particularly for Shenzhen," says Franco Leung, a Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer.
The number of cities registering year-on-year price increases rose to 46 in April from 40 in March, and the number of cities reporting year-on-year price increases of more than 5% rose to 17 from 14 over the same period.
Robust price growth in Shenzhen, Shanghai, Nanjing and Wuhan already triggered regulatory tightening in their residential property markets in late March 2016. Shenzhen registered the highest price growth, at 63.4% year-on-year in April 2016, followed by Shanghai at 34.2%.
"We believe tightening in policy measures could be targeted at cities with strong price growth, but will not be applied uniformly nationwide. Policies will remain supportive in lower-tier cities, where property prices remain sluggish," adds Leung.
Leung was speaking on the release of the May issue of Moody's China Property Focus.
The monthly report also looks at nationwide home sales, which Moody's expects to moderate to a single-digit percentage for the 12 months ending May 2017, from 16.6% in 2015 and 32.0% for the 12 months ended April 2016.
This expectation reflects a comparison against a high base recorded in 2H 2015 and in 1Q 2016 when stimulus measures spurred strong sales growth.
Moody's says that further stimulus measures will have limited benefits, while selective regulatory tightening in higher-tier cities will lead to lower property demand in those cities.


Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data
Use of AI in property valuation is on the rise – but we need greater transparency and trust
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation
Choices made nearly a century ago explain today’s housing crisis
If you squat in a vacant property, does the law give you the house for free? Well, sort of
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data
Interim housing isn't just a roof and four walls. Good design is key to getting people out of homelessness
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis
U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data
Hong Kong's Housing Market Slumps for Fifth Month: What’s Next?




