UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty 
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Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data 
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025 
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U.S. Treasury Yields Expected to Decline Amid Cooling Economic Pressures 
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European Stocks Rally on Chinese Growth and Mining Merger Speculation 
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields 
China's Refining Industry Faces Major Shakeup Amid Challenges 
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed 
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data 
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One 
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US dollar Index-
The US dollar index trades flat ahead of Fed Powell's speech and CPI data. It hit a low of 104.99 and is currently trading around 104.99.
The yellow metal gained momentum after weak US jobs data on Friday. The increased probability of a rate cut in September supports precious metals at lower levels.
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a 25 bpbs rate cut in Sep increased to 73.6% from 59.80% a week ago.
Major resistance- 106.20/107
Major support- 105.20/104.45
EURUSD-
EURUSD showed a minor sell-off on the French election results. It hit a low of 1.08192 and is currently trading around 1.08303.
The French election result shows a hung parliament with no party secured a majority. New Popular won 188 seats and the Ensemble alliance 161 seats.
Major resistance-1.0865,1.0900
Major support- 1.0760,1.0700
Yen-
The pair trades flat ahead of Fed Chairman Powell's speech. Any close below 160 confirms further bearishness.
Major Resistance- 162,163
Major support- 159.80,15
Canadian Dollar
The Canadian dollar shows a minor weakness on easing oil prices. Any break below 1.3600 confirms further bearishness.
Resistance- 1.3660, 1.3725
Major support- 1.3600,1.3535
