As shown in the diagram, EURSEK ATM calls are trading a tad below 12% (11.97% to be precise), even though IVs likely to fade a bit it is stagnant above 9%.
If IV is on the higher side, it implies that the market ponders over the price has the potential for large movement in either direction.
Whereas lower IV would divulge the market reckons the price would not move much and so that it is beneficial for option writers.
Technically, since the current rallies of EURSEK can see stiff resistance at 9.4533 levels we could foresee in short term it can very well be interpreted as short-term bulls may struggle but in medium term the resultant effects of the outcomes of the EU referendum props up the EURSEK prospects to a higher level and these bullish effects have been evident on monthly charts.
Moreover, the Swedish inflation hampers the rate cut by Riksbank in its monetary policy which in turn could prop up the pair to the higher levels.
So, trading option spreads in different strikes allows the traders in many tricky market scenarios and likely to fetch positive cashflows.
Hence, we recommend initiating longs in 1M ATM +0.51 delta call of EURSEK, 1 lot of (1%) OTM +0.36 delta call and simultaneously short 1 lot of deep OTM call (2%) with comparatively shorter expiry (preferably 1w) in the ratio of 2:1.


FxWirePro- Major Crypto levels and bias summary
S&P 500 Relies on Tech for Growth in Q4 2024, Says Barclays
Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data
UBS Predicts Potential Fed Rate Cut Amid Strong US Economic Data
U.S. Banks Report Strong Q4 Profits Amid Investment Banking Surge
Wall Street Analysts Weigh in on Latest NFP Data
Lithium Market Poised for Recovery Amid Supply Cuts and Rising Demand
UBS Projects Mixed Market Outlook for 2025 Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty
Global Markets React to Strong U.S. Jobs Data and Rising Yields
Moody's Upgrades Argentina's Credit Rating Amid Economic Reforms
Stock Futures Dip as Investors Await Key Payrolls Data




