As shown in the diagram, EURSEK ATM calls are trading a tad below 12% (11.97% to be precise), even though IVs likely to fade a bit it is stagnant above 9%.
If IV is on the higher side, it implies that the market ponders over the price has the potential for large movement in either direction.
Whereas lower IV would divulge the market reckons the price would not move much and so that it is beneficial for option writers.
Technically, since the current rallies of EURSEK can see stiff resistance at 9.4533 levels we could foresee in short term it can very well be interpreted as short-term bulls may struggle but in medium term the resultant effects of the outcomes of the EU referendum props up the EURSEK prospects to a higher level and these bullish effects have been evident on monthly charts.
Moreover, the Swedish inflation hampers the rate cut by Riksbank in its monetary policy which in turn could prop up the pair to the higher levels.
So, trading option spreads in different strikes allows the traders in many tricky market scenarios and likely to fetch positive cashflows.
Hence, we recommend initiating longs in 1M ATM +0.51 delta call of EURSEK, 1 lot of (1%) OTM +0.36 delta call and simultaneously short 1 lot of deep OTM call (2%) with comparatively shorter expiry (preferably 1w) in the ratio of 2:1.


Oil Prices Dip Slightly Amid Focus on Russian Sanctions and U.S. Inflation Data
How Donald Trump has changed the way diplomacy is done
China’s Growth Faces Structural Challenges Amid Doubts Over Data
Goldman Predicts 50% Odds of 10% U.S. Tariff on Copper by Q1 Close
2025 Market Outlook: Key January Events to Watch
Gold Prices Fall Amid Rate Jitters; Copper Steady as China Stimulus Eyed
Geopolitical Shocks That Could Reshape Financial Markets in 2025
Indonesia Surprises Markets with Interest Rate Cut Amid Currency Pressure
Trump’s "Shock and Awe" Agenda: Executive Orders from Day One
Mexico's Undervalued Equity Market Offers Long-Term Investment Potential
Moldova Criticizes Russia Amid Transdniestria Energy Crisis
U.S. Stocks vs. Bonds: Are Diverging Valuations Signaling a Shift?




