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FxWirePro: NZD/USD slips below 38.2%Fib, kiwi dented on dismal NZ Q3 GDP and risk-off market profile

NZD/USD chart on Trading View used for analysis

  • NZD/USD retraces break above 200-DMA slumps lower overnight on hawkish Fed hike.
     
  • The pair is extending weakness today after New Zealand Q3 GDP missed forecasts, hits 5-week lows at 0.6724.
     
  • Data released earlier today showed New Zealand Q3 GDP arrived at +0.3% q/q vs the 0.6% expected and 1.0% in Q2.  
  • For the y/y, GDP was up 2.6% missing forecasts at 2.8% compared to 3.2% prior, revised up from 2.8%. 
     
  • Antipodean currencies further under pressure amid risk-off market profile.
     
  • Technical indicators have shown a sharp switch in trajectory. RSI and Stochs are sharply lower.
     
  • The pair has broken below 38.2% Fib and is now on track to test next major support at 0.67.

Support levels - 0.67, 0.6632 (61.8% Fib), 0.6598 (Sept 28 low)

Resistance levels - 0.6761 (38.2% Fib), 0.6787 (5-DMA), 0.6815 (21-EMA)

Recommendation: Good to go short on upticks, SL: 0.6790, TP: 0.67/ 0.6635

For details on FxWirePro's Currency Strength Index, visit http://www.fxwirepro.com/currencyindex
 

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