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• NZD/USD slipped lower on Tuesday as markets continued to react to a surprise downside in quarterly inflation.
• New Zealand’s annual inflation climbed to 2.7% in Q2 but came in just below the 2.8% forecast, Statistics New Zealand reported Monday.
• Markets are now pricing in an 80% chance that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will cut its 3.25% cash rate by 25 basis points at the August 20 meeting.
• The RBNZ’s Chief Economist is scheduled to speak on Thursday about the economic impact of tariffs, a speech that could offer further clarity on the likelihood of a rate cut in August.
• Immediate resistance is located at 0.6010(38.2%fib), any close above will push the pair towards 0.6043 (July 11th high).
• Support is seen at 0.5941(50%fib)and break below could take the pair towards 0.5903(July 18th low).
Recommendation: Good to sell around 0.5960 with stop loss of 0.6050 and target price of 0.5880
