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Gold -
Ichimoku Analysis (4 Hour chart)
Tenken-Sen- $2352.21
Kijun-Sen- $2354.63
Gold showed a minor sell-off on the strong US dollar. It hit a low of $2351 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $2353.41.
Hawkish remarks from Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and upbeat US economic data have decreased the chance of a rate cut by the Fed in Sep.
CB consumer confidence - strong (positive for gold)
According to the CME Fed watch tool, the probability of a no-rate cut in June decreased to 99.10% from 96.50% a week ago.
US dollar index- Bearish. Minor support around 104/103. The near-term resistance is 105/106.50.
Factors to watch for gold price action-
Global stock market- Bullish (negative for gold)
US dollar index - Bullish (negative for gold)
US10-year bond yield- Bullish (negative for gold)
Technical:
The near–term support is around $2325, a break below the targets of $2300/$2285/$2270. The yellow metal faces minor resistance around $2365 and a breach above will take it to the next level of $2375/ $2400/$2420/$2450.
It is good to buy on dips around $2300 with SL around $2270 for TP of $2500.
